People will say it's marketing but I find Occam's Razor highly favors the theory "they are true believers in AGI/ASI"
replyThis seems especially true for Anthropic employees.
Genuinely, what makes people not believe in coming AGI?
I read quite a lot on hackernews but never encounter a strong post/comment against it, apart from the „what is marketing“ discussion.
Maybe people don’t bother because everyone is in their trenches, tough I don’t understand how people do not see the AGI coming.
What kind of doom, if any, will befall is something different of course.
I don’t want to believe there will be AGI in the next 5 years, but it sure is hard not to!
replyWouldn’t Occam’s razor say that the people speaking are highly motivated to continue being paid? Relying on their fear of future outcomes seems to be misplaced to judge the honesty of their statements.
reply> continue being paid
replyWhat I mean by Occam's Razor:
There are many assumptions that need to be true to link "they say they're terrified of AI" to "they get paid more / longer", in both their own minds and everyone else's. It's a bit of 4D chess that could go their way, but also could go 100 different ways.
In contrast, linking "they say it" to "they believe it" is simple.
Shocking publicity is good publicity. And "my product is so potent it will probably destroy you." I think I´ve heard it from drug dealers as well.
replyWhy are we even discussing this here? Altman works in the alchemy sector, not the tech sector.
replySmells of, "You can't handle my potions. They're too strong for you."[1]
reply1. https://genius.com/Justin-kuritzkes-potion-seller-annotated
It’s a great way to sign up young men for military duty too, sell it to them like it’s something exciting and awesome… and they can’t handle it.
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