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> My update for you since then: even an air-gap will be inadequate, there's multiple known ways around them.

Fair, and I will grant that a capable model (or human) could in theory break out of near anything.

My point is that this incident is not evidence of that. There is zero skill visible in the setup of the sandbox. Nobody messed up a critical detail, they didn’t even start to consider what the details were.

I doubt most people "blind to the possibility" would imagine that what we’re measuring against is the equivalent of benchmarking burglar skill based on how easily they can break through an unlocked door.

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We're probably fairly close on this topic, but I'd rate this as more "benchmarking burglar skill based on how easily they can pick, shim, or cut a lock": lockpicking in particular is a skill that takes effort to learn, but it can be learned well enough to be a problem well before you're good enough to be spectacular, and there's also a lot of locks which really suck in other ways and don't take much effort to get past even without picks.
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