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It doesn’t really matter if they believed or not initially, the dynamics at play now are completely different and both companies are facing increasing competition and costs of doing business, with no path to profitability. I’m pretty sure that takes priority over their personal beliefs
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Dario requested "a narrow waiver for certain kinds of safety conversations."

https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier

I'm not seeing how that solves his 3rd-party competition problem.

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People have a hard time believing Dario actually believes this stuff. But nothing from his entire track record from the early days until now indicates otherwise. Calling it all marketing or anti-competitive play is just typical social media, where they want to eliminate all nuance and make it reductive as possible to fit a convenient narrative.
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I’m on record explaining why I believe Dario is a true believer since decades. That doesn’t change anything about the current dynamic, which is about Anthropic the company and not Dario’s personal beliefs
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> Dario requested "a narrow waiver for certain kinds of safety conversations."

Just have it in public instead of making deals in smoke filled datacenters. Put out your blog posts. Make your tweets. Do interviews and post them to youtube. Or do what other industries do and have a public standards committee. Problem solved.

All sorts of industry have safety conversations and set voluntary standards all the time. Just go do that, without your free immunity from government prosecution.

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That approach means they can only talk about publicly known AI techniques. You're saying if they want the standards to apply to proprietary stuff, they might just have to make it public. They still have investors they need to please right?
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> as a strategy to gain an antitrust edge.

They are explicitly asking to anti-trust exception is the issue.

If they merely believe what they are saying that AI is ultra dangerous, nothing stops them from simply making the perfectly rational business decision to slow down a bit. No anti-trust exception needed. Just make the decision on your own, and don't sign some huge agreement with their competitor.

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They could slow down more if they knew others were also slowing. If others are also slowing, you can slow more yourself without loss of market share.

* * *

Many experts believe that:

"Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war."

https://aistatement.com/work/statement-on-ai-extinction-risk

If the antitrust waiver is too broad, we can always rework it. But there's no "undo" button for human extinction.

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