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Possibly. Sometimes delivery companies find it easier to just deliver them attempting to return to sender and dealing with headache of customer complaints since while it should have been clear to people buying the labels that they were not legit, a lot of people would be like "HOW WAS I SUPPOSED TO KNOW? I WANT MY MONEY BACK!"

Yes there is verification. Sometimes the label WAS valid but it was purchased with stolen credit card OR purchased then refunded after delivery to the client but before it entered the postal stream.

EDIT: Remember, boxes can be dropped off before someone processes them. Just hand them random postal carrier OR put them in postal pickup box.

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You can only ship packages from post offices now or by scheduling pickup. Too much darknet drugs I guess. You can drop them in a bin at the post office, but you still have to go in and get on camera.
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Surely most drugs could be sold in small enough envelopes that you don't need parcel postage. I know when I was using DNMs most packages were a simple large letter stamp stamp which covers 35.3cm x 25cm x 2.5cm and a maximum weight of 750g. So I doubt dark net drug orders would have been the trigger for this sort of change.
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This report alludes to (but IIRC stop short) of confirming that there is only validation at the designated ports of entry scans. https://www.uspsoig.gov/sites/default/files/reports/2026-04/...

My suspicion is that these labels are entering the mailstream somehow circumventing the "first" scan.

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they are real labels, im fairly sure. but they are generated fraudulently, likely via stolen credentials on various shipping providers with USPS api
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They're completely counterfeit, not real but generated fraudulently. This article has an example: https://www.freightwaves.com/news/nullship-selling-counterfe...
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This article has some inconsistencies with what I experienced. For example, my label absolutely had tracking before being intercepted. In fact, it made it all the way to my city's distribution center.

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/nullship-selling-counterfe...

Here's the trajectory. Note that the final status has updated to no longer say "counterfeit" it's now just "postage assessment".

----- Delayed for postage assessment, Item in transit to destination

August 13, 2026 5:44 AM

Departed USPS Facility

JERSEY CITY NJ DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 11, 2026 2:08 PM

Delayed for postage assessment, held awaiting payment

August 10, 2026 9:21 PM

Arrived at USPS Facility

JERSEY CITY NJ DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 10, 2026 4:53 PM

In Transit to Next Facility

August 10, 2026 6:24 AM

In Transit to Next Facility

August 9, 2026 7:13 PM

Departed USPS Facility

MYTOWN DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 9, 2026 8:18 AM

Arrived at USPS Facility

MYTOWN DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 9, 2026 1:28 AM

Departed USPS Facility

MYTOWN DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 8, 2026 10:30 AM

Delayed for postage assessment, held awaiting payment

August 7, 2026 6:29 PM

In Transit to Next Facility

August 7, 2026 9:14 AM

Arrived at USPS Facility

MYTOWN DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 7, 2026 7:17 AM

In Transit to Next Facility

August 6, 2026 7:04 AM

In Transit to Next Facility

August 5, 2026 5:53 PM

Departed USPS Facility

OPA LOCKA FL DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 5, 2026 4:46 AM

Arrived at USPS Facility

OPA LOCKA FL DISTRIBUTION CENTER

August 4, 2026 2:33 PM

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I'm not sure how it works with USPS, but with AusPost here, there is generally an entry at the very start saying 'Label created'.
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If they were real labels the charge wouldn’t be Counterfeiting.
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They can still be real tracking numbers, but faked labels. USPS used to let a lot slide but they've definitely gotten more aggressive with catching packages even slightly out of spec of what the label was for.
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