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> Chinese CXMT DRAM doesn't look like the budget savior many were expecting — new modules enter the market, but prices still track the big three

https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/dram/chinese-cxmt...

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That’s not the point. You’re speeding up the progress of them becoming a competitor, a relentless competitor worldwide.

And you are now encouraging other large pocket tech companies inside and outside China to give thought to taking memory in-house if that means making and selling devices at a reasonable price in a timely manner.

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CXMT isn't going to just magically price memory like it is 5 years ago. Maybe 10-20% lower, but not some integer multiple lower.
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That's today. You have to think about what the industry is going to look like in a decade.

Building a DRAM company from scratch is hard, expensive, and risky. You're burning a fortune to get started, and the result is a commodity product. But the AI bubble allows CXMT to have terrible yields, sell a legacy product, and still make a healthy profit! This is literally a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to catch up.

And yes, right now that means selling DRAM for 10% below the crazy AI-inflated prices the incumbents charge. But sooner or later either demand will drop or supply will catch up. CXMT, like many other Chinese companies, is undoubtedly willing to operate at razor-thin margins to increase market share. Either the other manufacturers move down as well, or they'll be made irrelevant by CXMT stealing all their customers.

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Absolutely. far too many people are thinking about the next 2 to 4 years. How many times must they see the Chinese play the long game before they figure it out?
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I agree with everything here, but lots of people have magical thinking that CXMT will just instantly erase the run-up in memory prices.
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Oh sure, they'll take profits while they can, but the supply increase will start pulling the market down. It's how price signals work.

Only way to keep prices this high would be a multinational cartel of RAM makers agreeing never to compete on price. One defector kills it. Not likely you could keep a cartel like this given that the players are all on different sides of geopolitical tensions. China's not going to want to help keep Taiwan, Japan, Germany, or the USA in the money.

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Not gonna happen with China in the world, they will sell to every place else on the face of the planet this memory bump is temporary, also keeping it high means other companies will reconfigure what they do. if you want to continue to sell millions of devices at a reasonable price, you’re not going to sit on the sidelines and wait for the three-headed cartel.

You are going to get busy. and design and engineer around the cartel. Is there one company in the world that might do that? A company that has the engineering, design and the money with the capacity to execute over time?

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Are you telling me that Intel will corner the market on https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/history/virtual-vaul...

Because that would be smart. And they have the packaging tech to add compute to it.

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