Advancements in Math and coding are because RLVR at massive scale is so cheap.
This sounds like a goalpost on wheels. Can you define clearly where your stake in the ground is?
I think it’s a good test and I think LLMs will reach it in 3 years. Current benchmarks maybe slightly incorrect.
I’m happy to make a 4:1 bet in my favour that I’m correct about the kitchen bet.
"doing poorly" is still doing
Of course this is the same reason LeCun holds very little sway with his words for me, they seem to be terrible predictors of the future.