That is 1. immediately technically possible, and 2. realistic.
If you need a source for 2 I'd suggest you open any history book.
Bad thing can certainly happen. In fact it'll likely happen. Still, good things too, equally likely. In your words, "good AI" can be used to prevent "bad AI".
Nobody knows the extent of the impact. Who says otherwise is foolish.
The extinction of the dinosaurs. I mean yes, it allowed the growth of large mammals and us, which did a lot for science.
I just don't want to write the next chapter as "The extinction of humans allow the growth of the computing civilization that went to the stars". I mean I'm a bit attached to living.
>Nobody knows the extent of the impact. Who says otherwise is foolish.
We live in a universe of statistical probability. Creating an agentic intelligence that's smarter than you tips the probability of a major event to unity, who says otherwise is foolish.
i get a lot of skepticism on HN by the same crowd that has been wrong about this tech for about 4+ years straight
Why would a biolab capable of making something like be unregulated? And if it definitely would, isn't the problem with the biolab?
It feels like all these scenarios are leaving some gaping holes in our security infrastructure that have nothing to do with AI.
Most human security exists in a passive measure. Most of us don't want do die. And those that want to die rarely have the intelligence and means to take out a whole shitload of other people with us. To take out a lot of people you tend to need to work with other people which drastically increases the risk of a defector and your plan failing.
>Why would a biolab capable of making something like be unregulated?
Because every day things like this become easier and easier. You hear about crap like illegal wet labs in the US.
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/two-illegal-biolabs-rev...
Want to buy some custom designed genes?
https://www.idtdna.com/pages/products/genes-and-gene-fragmen...
And none of this would be counting labs in other countries that don't give a shit about regulations.
AI enables bad actors to do more, faster, while staying under the radar until it's too late