Counterpoint: there are a lot of one-hit wonders, and they vastly outnumber the idea-factory people. This is not to minimize those people, a single idea can be very successful (see Zuckerberg), but it doesn't mean your subsequent ideas will also be great (see Zuckerberg)
Here if anyone is interested: https://pantel.is/projects/ai-gaming-companion/
Yes, this generates probabilities over a set of given options instead of the whole token vocabulary.
I don't see what's so exciting about it, compared to regular LLMs which support structured output options in the API.
I keep evaluating Jev for my product because of the hype, but the reality is that for my tasks, Luna is more accurate, only a little more expensive, and the latency doesn’t matter. I’d rather spend the extra $50 / month or whatever than have to shoehorn in another API and provider, and also lose the ability to change reasoning level and get reasoning summaries for eval purposes.
This all sounds intelligent and likely, and yet we can come up with countless counter examples where the first mover is not the big winner, and nobody cares about who did it first. There is typically way more value in nailing the execution of a big idea someone else came up with, rather than "seeing the future".