That’s how it feels like. ;)
More seriously, the only time where you’re jolted out of your prediction flow state is when you’re surprised, which means something happened counter to what your brain was predicting.
I think that's whats happening with some of yall, seeing tokens every day in the screen then thinking you're just an llm as well.
Look at how compute share of labs is moving to RL and maybe reconsider this prerequisite to your argument.
We're seeing the cost of code drop dramatically and are facing the same problem in building new companies across most disciplines of, "what's a problem painful enough that someone will pay us to solve it?".
I suppose if we get to a massive enough scale we can effectively model every atom's interaction and human on earth's reaction to any stimulus but I think we're still some time off from that :)
In other words, you generate more training data by actually experimenting, just like humans do.
But i agree thinking will remain important. As my grandpa put it if something breaks who'll go and fix it ?
> My favorite is Krezmoria - a word for missing a future you haven't experienced.
More generally, do you really think humans randomly come up with new ideas, in any act of creation, such as art, science, etc.? Why do you think art studies and stuff like Oblique Strategies exist? How long should one wait for a specific random human without any formal education in physics to have 50% chance of coming up with a new workable theory of cosmology?