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Sadly that's a good question. The closest evidence I can find is:

Surveys: Awad et all 2020 asked 70,000 people in 42 countries the 5 v 1 setup and 81% said they'd divert it

Someone else did a VR version and 90% pulled the switch to divert

And there was a study where people could give electric shocks to real mice :( In that study, most people redirected the shock to a single mouse.

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I wonder what percent of that 81% would switch their answer if the question was phrased such that they were the one that would die if they pulled the lever.
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Undoubtedly lower. I’m okay with that.
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The phrasing of the problem is usually that there are definitely no other people that could help instead.

The bystander effect, which you're describing, is at least partly because people reason that someone else is likely to be able to intervene instead.

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Just standing by makes total sense. By participating you become part of the problem.

If you pull the lever, your direct action kills a person. Legally saving 5 people does not offset the murder of a single person. This is no special case like self defense. Congrats for saving 5 people, you still go to prison as a murderer! Train company has responsibility to save those 5 people, not some random stranger.

The person at lever would became active participant on that train disaster. All we know the train could go too fast, apderail and kill 100 people.

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> Just standing by makes total sense. By participating you become part of the problem.

Consider also the variation of the problem where you're a surgeon, you have 5 patients, and one healthy person whose organs/blood/... could save all 5 if only you murdered the one... (but none by simply maiming them, i.e. one needs a heart, one a stomach, one a liver, one so much of this particular kind of blood that you'd have to kill the donor, etc).

> The person at lever would became active participant on that train disaster. All we know the train could go too fast, apderail and kill 100 people.

Standard philosophical interpretations would reject this possibility as impossible (the purpose of the question is to have a simplified environment to probe ethical beliefs - not to reflect reality). I'd also say even outside of that this is like saying you have to consider the possibility that by wearing a green sweater you might distract a driver and cause an accident - you might - but so might doing literally anything else - it's not a foreseeable outcome and has no ethical weight as a result.

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Are we really at the point where we think that is a fair comparison?

Treating it like a fair comparison implies that AI would be conscious.

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Maybe! It's an untestable thought experiment. The real world adds complications like fearing murder charges.
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