upvote
You'll get 50% prediction accuracy for a fair coin no matter what result a model gives. Try testing adversarial games. Mixed strategies make actual sense in them.
reply
The model gives a probability distribution as an answer; you can check to see if two arbitrarily chosen probability distributions are similar or not.
reply
Try it yourself to prove you’re useful. Predict my coin flip.
reply
I can't, because I don't think you have any coins on you. :)
reply
A probabilistic system that cannot reliably reproduce probabilities - somewhat ironic, but absolutely not its purpose.
reply
It’s not really ironic since the goal of the system is to reduce variance. Or I guess ironic in the same way as it is that the Buckingham Palace guards just stand there when they could leave at any time.
reply
That's like not using an LLM for coding assistance because it can't count r's in strawberry.
reply
deleted
reply
I'm dying to know if you got heads or tails when you flipped the coin.
reply
deleted
reply
Try asking it to write a program to predict coin flips. That's what it is trained to do.
reply
Jev literally cannot write programs.
reply
this is not what *decision models* do.
reply