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When you get used to the microwave you have, you can hit the same spot every time. It's a formula depending on your cup, the wattage of he microwave and time.

I can hit the temperature I want every time on a Bosch microwave from 80s which has two power levels and a rotary, mechanical timer.

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Also volume of liquid and temperature of liquid and cup.
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I generally fill the cup to the same level, and fill it from the same source in the house in 99% of the time, so they are implicit constants in the equation, at least for me.
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