I don't think so. Some products and orgs will in fact go backwards more than they go forwards (chimps with AK-47s, etc.), but anyone wielding the current and future generations of agents wisely will always be capable of getting net-positive results. And it's increasingly easy to become capable of it.

Probably the big divide will be orgs who use agents for more or less of the ideation/design/architecture proposal side of things. Giant Confluence sloppages/Google slopdocs vs. 100% human-written proposals. But the actual implementation and testing? Going forward, no reason to not have that be almost entirely LLMs.

(Plus, in a few generations we should expect the frontier LLMs to no longer produce garbage-to-mediocre proposals, and in fact to generally outshine human engineers and architects and researchers at the ideation phase. Whether that takes one year or five, who knows.)

“productivity”