People say this about the frontier every time, and the open models catch up in a matter of months every time.
replyThe open models catch up, the _US_ open models catch up much more slowly. Different incentives and cultures.
replyWhy does that seem unlikely? The difference between frontier and open weights has been much less than 12 months for a while now.
replyUS open weights are much worse, way more than 12 months apart compared to frontier.
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reply> Why does that seem unlikely? The difference between frontier and open weights has been much less than 12 months for a while now.
replyFrontier and open weights? Yes.
Frontier and _US_ open weights? No.
I'd expect a US open weights provider to suddenly get bought or go non-open if they get near Opus 5.5 anyway.
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