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Why do you wish for US to win? I think it's a quite scary moment if I, to be able to work, need to pay a hefty tax in tokens to a few big American corporations instead of having a server in my cellar with a few GPUs I control or having a healthy ecosystem of competition serving the models we need daily.
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Given the risks of AI tech, one could argue quite easily that "we would probably be 1 year behind where we currently are" would be a better outcome.
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These are strong and unsubstantiated claims.

The main competitions US labs are facing, are from one another at this point, not from open weight models. If anything, the competition from new entrants in the west (Meta, xAI, even Google if you think about it) has pushed things even faster, but regardless, I don’t see how OpenAI and Anthropic would have been any slower if there were no open weight models.

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In my opinion it is the open weights that are pushing as much in tandem. Without them it would be easier between the top labs. They must have a large enough gap between OW to justify that extra cost. A business owner may prefer to be happy with 8/10 AI output rather than spend 5x more for that extra 2 points
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I wish this race to the bottom would stop.
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