https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/practically-a-book-review-r...
To the extent that there can ever be a "smoking gun" in this debate, this is it for me. Given the mutation rate of covid, the lab leak requires that two lineages transferred to the same area a week apart by mere accident.
A "Red Flag" (or Safety Signal) is an actual, observed increase in adverse events in real-world data.
What he was discussing in the text was a theoretical risk.
A "Theoretical Risk" is a hypothetical concern based on known biological mechanisms (e.g., "high fevers can cause miscarriages, so a vaccine-induced fever might do the same").
…unlike the risk from catching Covid itself
Should have said “no heightened risk”. Looks like it’s impossible to edit or delete now.