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> Usage does not correlate with valued output or ROI

This sounds possible but how can we know? It could just as well correlate. Effort of all kinds correlates with success even when it's not obvious or not... linear.

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> > Usage does not correlate with valued output or ROI

>This sounds possible but how can we know?

If usage correlated with ROI, we would never stop hearing about it from the big AI firms.

The fact is that a bunch of marks and rubes got suckered into buying snake oil.

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It's hard to measure ROI so we generally wouldn't. Even McKinseys and BCGs have a hard time showing ROIs.

Sure, you could say all digital transformations are nebulous snake oil and don't deliver but I just don't think this is the case.

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> Even McKinseys and BCGs have a hard time showing ROIs.

That's a pretty low bar if you ask me.

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If that was true then there wouldn’t be a giant ROI crisis fueling calls of an AI bubble burst imminent. If the answer was “the ROI is clear” then folks would just say that.
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Frankly, it seems obvious to me that AI has negative efficiency (0.25x as efficient as the old way? 0.125x as efficient as the old way? 0.0625x as efficient as the old way?)

AI has created a generation of 0.125x engineers.

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Considering many of them are starting from an existing product and making it worse, they're -10x
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I really think -10x is accurate if we're considering the systemic effort it takes to manage the torrent of slop produced by AI addicts and true believers. These AI developers are cancerous to our organizations and codebases.
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Skill issue.

If you make an effort to use the new tools effectively, the gains are wild. Don't fall into a grumpy luddite trap, the train is leaving the station and you'll struggle to catch up if you don't learn and grow.

Not using AI for software development in 2027 will be like only knowing how to program via punchcard in 2010.

It's new. It's different. It's hard. It's your job. Learn how to use it effectively, embrace the new abundance mindset.

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The AI whisperer! The hottest job title of 2026!
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Is this mean-spirited comment really what you want to share as the face of your company?
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I don’t know this person but no one else is holding back on mean spirited replies, I see no reason they shouldn’t reply in same.
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He was bullied into purchasing AI by similar mean-spirited comments. Now that everyone can see that the emperor has no clothes, this sort of abusive rhetoric is the only leg he has to stand on.

He doesn't deserve his job; He is not qualified for technical leadership.

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His comment sucks but it is indeed a skill issue. Not the skill of "agentic coding" or whatever but the skill of having and communicating good ideas. A lot of engineers/people are bad at that, and are struggling to produce anything of value with AI coding.
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This but the train is competence (the opposite of AI).
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> It's new. It's different. It's hard. It's your job. Learn how to use it effectively, embrace the new abundance mindset.

This. Except it’s not that hard to get proficient. Either learn it or get left behind same as it ever was in software tech.

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Your bio says that you're a CTO. If you spent millions on AI contracts, you're a mark and you don't deserve your job.
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> spent millions on AI contracts

The key question is how much value has been delivered on the other end for a given cost. Well used, tokens would be cheap at 10x the price right now.

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Care to share your costs and revenues then?
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Obviously he would have shared them already if they aligned with his abusive rhetoric.
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I'm sorry that you've been tricked. Give up the ghost before you ruin your reputation more than you already have.
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>> Don't fall into a grumpy luddite trap, the train is leaving the station and you'll struggle to catch up if you don't learn and grow.

If that's true things are truly hopeless for pre-school/school children who are not in position to jump on the train just yet.

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Children will jump on any train, that's why I'm in computers, and why there's an AI cheating crisis right now so severe that nobody is learning anything in schools.
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