I'm confident it's an amplifier for people who know how learning works and already do a lot of it, successfully. However the level of "learning fluency" I'm talking about isn't reached for many until late college or grad school, and sometimes not at all. So I'm not surprised by the quoted results for 12-18 year olds.
"The negative learning effects are larger for students with higher initial achievement. The differences in the estimated full (6-10 month average) effects are substantial, with a 50% gap between the most negative effect (-24 percent) for the highest tercile and the least negative (-16 percent) for the lowest tercile. "
Not top 10% as you asked, but the closest to what you asked. My working hypothesis is that top performance is highly correlated with willingness to work hard, and AI decreases the motivation to work hard.
I think if you take a physics class where the student is intelligent and intrinsically motivated through their own interest (I admit this is rare) then AI probably helps.
they're not designed to measure general aptitude, or function as admissions criteria, or screen for job applications, or any other numerous things they are used for.
there can be many questions of pedagogy. one of them is, what do our exams measure and how do we use them? professors who say, "My exam is designed to measure who studies, not be used for all these other purposes that they are actually used for" - I don't buy it. It's the same as late night comedians saying they are not responsible for solutions, even when spending 90% of their air time making political jokes.
THIS is the pedagogical issue, that pedagogy has NEVER caught up with the scope of responsibilities. This is acute in STEM - I mean, the humanities departments are generally pretty well run, all things considered, in this regard. Generative AI is accelerating that pre-existing crisis.
Huh? They're designed to measure how much you know. They can't see how much you study, nor would they have reason to be interested.
At the end of the day though what matters is what you know. Furthermore, if it's a serious subject, it shouldn't matter whether you learned it from this teacher or from another school and teacher, as long as your knowledge is correct. Knowing the idiosyncracies of this particular teacher should not factor into the grade. A serious subject can be learned on one continent and examined on another. Bullshit courses are all about learning pet peeves and hobby horses of a particular teacher.