What's bewildering is the absolute lack of recognition of the fact that IF participants are locked in an arms race, they cannot act unilaterally to disarm. So not disarming doesn't actually say anything about whether they want to.
Now, of course a company not disarming (pacing the frontier, in this case) is not evidence that they ARE locked in an arms race. Everything hinges on the question of whether it's an arms race, and I think there's a great discussion to be had there. But the cynics never even bother to address the question.
All that said, I'm not actually bewildered. HN is way too smart to not understand all this, so my conclusion is that the people talking past each other are having a different emotional reaction to what's happening in the world. The angry bitter cynics are reacting from fear and hatred, and that's where the sloppy motivated reasoning comes from.
You might have sleep past it, but cynics became cynic when this question was just plainly ignored with self assured answers, mostly based on market valuation as the ultimate truth indicator. I guess now days the self assured answer is to accuse critics of "fear and hatred".
Do you even know what you’re trying to say here?
Also it seems a little silly to assert that the "angry bitter cynics" are the ones who don't think the world is hurtling to imminent doom or whatever..
I don't want to be too blunt but it really just seems like you disagree with a certain take people have, but don't just want to say that for whatever reason. I think you might save yourself some bewilderment by just being honest about that to yourself...