At the same time, OpenAI had a disastrous dev day that led a lot of users to jump ship to Claude.
Couple weeks later, Gemini-4-argon is still unavailable on anything less than the ultra tier, which means there's no natural funnel to get ppl to pay for the more expensive ultra plan other than "trust us the model is good".
If Google had argon broadly available earlier this month they would have picked up a ton of new users.
Models move so fast now and Google is very cautious about releasing them.
What sucks, hard, is googles ability to deploy direct to devs and customers at scale when the deployment is not a longstanding Google project.
Case in point: I’m an ultra subscriber and see in my app right now an ad to try Gemini 4; meanwhile the only models I have available are 3.1 pro,3.6 flash, and 3.8 thinking.
Clicking the try gemini 4 link takes me to a demo prompt that loads 3.6 flash. Srsly
I won’t even start telling you what getting api key based access together was like a year ago.
Ofc I know this isn't your fault in person, but I really wish Google would get its shit together.
...As a long time tech enthusiast I should probably stop being so delusional. Heh (cries internally)
1: lol I know who cheers for a trillion dollar company but I'd rather not cheer for OpenAI
As a Google employee my defense is it's hard for a company this big to move fast, but I can understand how Google customers would be annoyed.
The top level comment blamed cheerleading but let's apply critical thinking for a second as product people and look at the funnel:
1. Potential users sees new release 2. Potential user takes time to install and set up Google harness (you already lost 90% of people here, the funnel better close quick!) 3. Potential user cannot use new model.
Then what? You hope they developed good will towards your model through this experience?
You stuck a two week wait in your funnel? Is that the definition of not having your act together or what?
We're on HN, how many of us have heard from Google staff this kind of stuff is a result of them growing so big that AI Cloud has to compete with Vertex Cloud, and AI cloud exists because Vertex Cloud needed 2 years to get OAI/Ant style API keys working and were losing dev mindshare in the meantime?
Then basic mistakes (inferring wrong information from the given text, hallucinations...). Gemini is okay for some absolute basics and the rest of the work goes to actual frontier models.
Narrating this as if it’s the game of thrones is a fun exercise, but it’s just becoming commonplace now that models jump ahead of each other on a weekly to Monthly basis.
This was part of the issue, as stated in their comment. We couldn't jump around to try it for the reason that is wasn't made available to, as you say, "all the power users".
Do you really think people in google are happy about how long it took to release this model?
We’re all running on Astra medium the whole week and loving it.
I’m curious what I missed.
$500/month for 40+ hours a week of Astra usage, with ultrafast mode available when you’re near the weekly reset has made our jobs so much easier. Our product has some sciencey bits as well, ands Astra kills it as a rubber duck in this area.
As a consumer whose 20x account got downgraded, I am a bit sad. I can’t justify $500 a month on personal AI spend. As an engineering manager, I could not be happier with OpenAI’s services. Also, Codex App Server is amazing.
Hey, account created 39 days ago. Did you really have to tag that on after all the other stuff? Could you make it any more obvious?
That said this thread is hilarious because it's just an open ai sales manual debating with an anthropic sales manual. It's funny, but it's not, because the truth is that you people are just shitting all over the commons. Someone needs to kick you out but that's not going to happen here.
Can you elaborate on this?
Reddit thread with 247 comments here: https://www.reddit.com/r/codex/comments/1wtgv3z/dev_day_l/
Aside from that I'm not sure what was "disastrous" - maybe the lack of a new model release to compete with the just-released Claude Opus 5.5?
- Dots. People don't understand it. Their presentation didn't explain it properly at all. Additionally, many people thought it's stupid, and that the cutesy mascots are dystopian.
- Voice mode didn't work in their presentation. The demo failed.
- 200$ plan goes 20x -> 10x usage. 500$ plan introduced, 25x usage. The contrast is stark.
- "Ultrafast": 8x pricing on subscription plan (6x API). That's 80$ input, 400$ output, 100$ cache write. Hello?! Additionally, since it generates 8x faster, it consumes your quota 8x faster. Per wall-clock minute, it's 64x more usage spend per minute of generating. People report that on the 500$ plan, their weekly usage is gone in 40-100 minutes.
- People believe gpt-6.1-sol was planned to be released as astra-minor, but OpenAI renamed it at the last possible time, because gpt-6-sol is a disaster (this I can get behind)
I mean, I heard rumors too that it would be ultra only, but that doesn't seem to be the case, unless you are specifically talking about antigravity?
Realistically, market adoption isn't going to be the result of terminally online people (like me, I confess) following things way too closely on social.
edit: just a few hours after this comment I got access to Gemini 4 on the Gemini app. Yayy! :)
https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/ge...
Oh yeah. Completely forgot about that. Big headlines and big claims, but no one could actually use it and report on it.
Does seem like they don't quite grasp how the hype train operates. Or maybe they don't care as much.