I'd say yes, LLMs "just" recombine things. I still don't think if you trained an LLM with every pre-Newton/Liebniz algebra/geometry/trig text available, it could create calculus. (I'm open to being proven wrong.) But stuff like this is exactly the type of innovation LLMs are great at, and that doesn't discount the need for humans to also be good at "recombinant" innovation. We still seem to be able to do a lot that they cannot in terms of synthesizing new ideas.
> Humans aren't going to come up with "new-dimensional" innovations in every field, every single year.
Also, I'm not sure why CS people act like axioms are where you start. Finding them is very very difficult. It can take some real innovation because you're trying to get rid of things, not build on top of. True for a lot of science too. You don't just build up. You tear down. You translate. You go sideways. You zoom in. You zoom out. There are so many tools at your disposal. There's so much math that has no algorithmic process to it. If you think it all is, your image is too ideal (pun(s) intended).
But at the same time I get it, it is a level of math (and science) people never even come into contact with. People think they're good at math because they can do calculus. You're leagues ahead of most others around you, yes, and be proud of that. But don't let that distance deceive you into believing you're anywhere near the experts. There's true for much more than just math, but it's easy to demonstrate to people that they don't understand math. Granted, most people don't want to learn, which is perfectly okay too
We even think that the Babylonian astronomers figured out they could integrate over velocity to predict the position of Jupiter.
Yes but that is because there was not enough text available to create an intelligent LLM to begin with.
Also we shouldn’t be thinking about what LLMs are good at, but rather what any computer ever might be good at. LLMs are already only one (essential!) part of the system that produced this result, and we’ve only had them for 3 years.
Also also this is a tiny nitpick but: the fields medal is every 4 years, AFAIR. For that exact reason, probably!
Its amazing to me when people talk about recombining things, or following up on things as somehow lesser work.
People can't separate the perspective they were given when they learned the concepts, that those who developed the concepts didn't have because they didn't exist.
Simple things are hard, or everything simple would have been done hundreds of years ago, and that is certainly not the case. Seeing something others have not noticed is very hard, when we don't have the concepts that the "invisible" things right in front of us will teach us.
That Newton and Leibniz came up with similar ideas in parallel, independently, around the same time (what are the odds?), supports that.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leibniz%E2%80%93Newton_calculu...
The experiment is feasible. If it were performed and produced a positive result, what would it imply/change about how you see LLMs?
Besides, we can forecast our thoughts and actions to imagined scenarios unconditioned on their possibility. Something doesn't have to be possible for us to imagine our reactions.
There are people working on this.
Imagine every bit of human knowledge as a discrete point within some large high dimensional space of knowledge. You can draw a big convex hull around every single point of human knowledge in a space. A LLM, being trained within this convex hull, can interpolate between any set of existing discrete points in this hull to arrive at a point which is new, but still inside of the hull. Then there are points completely outside of the hull; whether or not LLMs can reach these is IMO up for debate.
Reaching new points inside of the hull is still really useful! Many new discoveries and proofs are these new points inside of the hull; arguable _most_ useful new discoveries and proofs are these. They're things that we may not have found before, but you can arrive at by using what we already have as starting points. Many math proofs and Nobel Prize winning discoveries are these types of points. Many haven't been found yet simply because nobody has put the time or effort towards finding them; LLMs can potentially speed this up a lot.
Then there are the points completely outside of hull, which cannot be reached by extrapolation/interpolation from existing points and require genuine novel leaps. I think some candidate examples for these types of points are like, making the leap from Newtonian physics to general relativity. Demis Hassabis had a whole point about training an AI with a physics knowledge cutoff date before 1915, then showing it the orbit of Mercury and seeing if it can independently arrive at general relativity as an evaluation of whether or not something is AGI. I have my doubts that existing LLMs can make this type of leap. It’s also true that most _humans_ can’t make these leaps either; we call Einstein a genius because he alone made the leap to general relativity. But at least while most humans can’t make this type of leap, we have existence proofs that every once in a while one can; this remains to be seen with AI.
It's possible LLMs can handle this after all! But at least so far we only have existence proofs of humans doing this, not LLMs yet, and I don't think it's easy to be certain how far away LLMs are from doing this. I should distinguish between LLMS and AI more generally here; I'm skeptical LLMs can do this, I think some other kind of more complete AI almost certainly can.
I supposed you could just, I dunno, randomly combine words into every conceivable sentence possible and treat each new sentence as a theory to somehow test and brute force your way through the infinite possible theories you could come up with. But at that point you're closer to the whole infinite random monkeys producing Shakespeare thing than you are to any useful conclusion about intelligence.
Like, “take a random sequence of bits and interpret it as Unicode” is at one end of a scale, and “take a random sequence of words in a language” is just a tad away from it, and the scale continues in that direction for quite a while.
This doesn't make any sense, by their nature they can't "guess-and-check" things outside their training set.
And most of the mathematicians seem to welcome this "brute forcing" by the LLMs. It connects pieces that people didn't realize could be connected. That opens up a lot of avenues for further exploration.
Now, if the LLMs could just do something like ingesting the Mochizuki stuff and give us a decent confirmation or disproof ...
If you have a multi dimensional space, and you are trying to compute which points lie “inside” some boundary, there are large areas that will be bounded by some dimensions but not others. This is interesting because it means if you have a section bounded by dimensions A, B, and C but not D, you could still place a point in D, and doing so then changes your overall bounds.
I think this is how much of human knowledge has progressed (maybe all non-observational knowledge). We make observations that create points, and then we derive points within the created space, and that changes the derivable space, and we derive more points.
I don’t see why AI could do the same (other than technical limitations related to learning and memory).
Most discoveries are indeed implied from axioms, but every now and then, new mathematics is (for lack of a better word) "created"—and you have people like Descartes, Newton, Leibniz, Gauss, Euler, Ramanujan, Galois, etc. that treat math more like an art than a science.
For example, many belive that to sovle the Riemann Hypothesis, we likely need some new kind of math. Imo, it's unlikely that an LLM will somehow invent it.
A scientist has to extract the "Creation" from an abstract dimension using the tools of "human knowledge". The creativity is often selecting the best set of tools or recombining tools to access the platonic space. For instance a "telescope" is not a new creation, it is recombination of something which already existed: lenses.
How can we truly create something ? Everything is built upon something.
You could argue that even "numbers" are a creation, but are they ? Aren't they just a tool to access an abstract concept of counting ? ... Symbols.. abstractions.
Another angle to look at it, even in dreams do we really create something new ? or we dream about "things" (i.e. data) we have ingested in our waking life. Someone could argue that dream truly create something as the exact set of events never happened anywhere in the real world... but we all know that dreams are derived.. derived from brain chemistry, experiences and so on. We may not have the reduction of how each and every thing works.
Just like energy is conserved, IMO everything we call as "created" is just a changed form of "something". I fully believe LLMs (and humans) both can create tools to change the forms. Nothing new is being "created", just convenient tools which abstract upon some nature of reality.
It was a new concept, combining lenses to look at things far away as if they are close to. The literal atoms/molecules weren't new, but the form they were arranged in was. The purpose of the arrangement was new too.
Humans and animals have intuitive notions of space and motion since they can obviously move. But, symbolizing such intuitions into forms and communicating that via language is the creative act. Birds can fly, but can they symbolize that intuitive intelligence to create a theory of flight and then use that to build a plane ?
Well I think the point is there is no "new kind of math". There's just types of math we've discovered and what we haven't. No new math is created, just found.
We're not comparing math to reality (though there's a strong argument to be made that reality has a structure that is mathematical in nature - structural realism didn't die a scientific philosophy just because someone came up with a pithy saying), we're talking about if math is discovered or invented.
Most mathematicians would argue both - math is a language, we have created operations, axioms are proposed based on human creativity, etc., but the actual laws, patterns, etc. are discovered. Pi is going to be pi no matter if you're a human or someone else - we might represent it differently with some other number system or whatever, but that's a matter of representation, not mathematical truth.
It seems that addition (for instance) was "created" long before us.
On the other hand, it seems highly unlikely that a civilization similar to ours could "invent" an essentially different kind of mathematics (or physics, etc.)
I know of no realm where mathematical objects live except human minds.
No, it seems clear to me that mathematics is a creation of our minds.
"Where" mathematics exists is in the abstract combinatorical space of an infinite repeating application of logical rules. This space doesn't exist in a substantive sense, but it is accessible/navigable by studying the consequences of logical rules. It is the space of possible structure.
This is also true for established theorems! We can can imagine mathematical universes (toposes) where every (total) function on the reals is continuous! Even though it is an established theorems that there are discontinuous functions! We just need to replace a few axioms (chuck out law of the excluded middle, and throw in some continuity axioms).
However, if that idea about new math is correct, we, in theory, don’t need new math to (dis)prove the Riemann hypotheses (assuming it is provable or disprovable in the current system).
In practice we may still need new math because a proof of the Riemann hypotheses using our current arsenal of mathematical ‘objects’ may be enormously large, making it hard to find.
I honestly don't know personally either way. Based on my limited understanding of how LLMs work, I don't see them be making the next great song or next great book and based on that reasoning I'm betting that it probably wont be able to do whatever next "Descartes, Newton, Leibnitz, Gauss, Euler, Ramanujan, Galois" are going to do.
Of course AI as a wider field comes up with something more powerful than LLM that would be different.
Meanwhile, songs are hitting number one on some charts on Spotify that people think are humans and are actually AI. And Spotify has to start labelling them as such. One AI "band" had an entire album of hits.
Also - music is a subjective. Mathematics isn't.
And in this case, an LLM discovered a new way to reason about a conjecture. I don't know how much proof is needed - since that is literally proof that it can be done.
There is quite some questions around that. Music is subjective and obviously different people have different taste, but I wouldn't call any of them to be actual good music / real hits.
>> LLM discovered a new way to reason about a conjecture
I wasn't questioning LLMs ability to prove things. Parent threads were talking about building new kind of maths , or approaching it in a creative/artistic way. Thats' what I was referring to.
I can't speak for maths of hard science as I'm not trained in that, but the creativity aspect in code is definitely lacking when it comes to LLMs. May not matter down the line.
because I have no basis for assuming an LLM is fundamentally capable of doing this.
"Never shall I be beaten by a machine!”
In 1997 he lost to Deep Blue.
Not a good argument for turning everything over to the Deep Blues. What's Deep Blue done for me lately?
Train an LLM only on texts dated prior to Newton and see if it can create calculus, derrive the equations of motion, etc.
If you ask it about the nature of light and it directs you to do experiments with a prism I'd say we're really getting somewhere.
[1] Obviously Newton counts as one. Leibniz like Newton figured out calculus. Other people did important work in dynamics though no one else's was as impressive as Newton's. But the vast majority of human-level intelligences trained on texts prior to Newton did not create calculus or derive the equations of motion or come close to doing either of those things.
Incidentally, similar conversations were had about ML writ large vs. classical statistics/methods, and now they've more or less completely died down since it's clear who won (I'm not saying classical methods are useless, but rather that it's obvious the naysayers were wrong). I anticipate the same trajectory here. The main difference is that because of the nature of the domain, everyone has an opinion on LLM's while the ML vs. statistics battle was mostly confined within technical/academic spaces.
But if you actually try to take a convex hull of, some encoding of sentences as vectors? It isn’t true. The outputs are not in the convex hull of the training data.
I guess it’s supposed to be a metaphor and not literal, but in that case it’s confusing. Especially seeing as there are contexts in machine learning where literal interpolation vs literal extrapolation, is relevant. So, please, find a better way to say it than saying that “it can only interpolate”?
In the end, creativity has always been a combination of chance and the application of known patterns in new contexts.
If you know anything about the invention of new math (analytic geometry, Calculus, etc.), you'd know how untrue this is. In fact, Calculus was extremely hand-wavy and without rigorous underpinnings until the mid 1800s. Again: more art than science.
If anything, they were fighting an uphill battle against the perception of hand-waving by their contemporaries.
That idea wasn’t formally defined until 134 years later with epsilon-delta by Cauchy. That it was accepted. (I know that there were an earlier proofs)
There’s even arguments that the limit existed before newton and lebnitz with Archimedes' Limits to Value of Pi.
Cauchy’s deep understanding of limits also led to the creation of complex function theory.
These forms of creation are hand-wavy not because they are wrong. They are hand wavy because they leverage a deep level of ‘creative-intuition’ in a subject.
An intuition that a later reader may not have and will want to formalize to deepen their own understanding of the topic often leading to deeper understanding and new maths.
Yes, and it's pretty common knowledge that Calculus was (finally) formalized by Weierstrass in the early 19th century, having spent almost two centuries in mathematical limbo. Calculus was intuitive, solved a great class of problems, but its roots were very much (ironically) vibes-based.
This isn't unique to Newton or Leibniz, Euler did all kinds of "illegal" things (like playing with divergent series, treating differentials as actual quantities, etc.) which worked out and solved problems, but were also not formalized until much later.
Vibe-what? Vibe-bullshit, maybe; cathedrals in Europe and such weren't built by magic. Ditto with sailing and the like. Tons of matematics and geometry there, and tons of damn axioms before even the US existed.
Heck, even the Book of The Games from Alphonse X "The Wise" has both a compendia of game rules and even this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astronomical_chess where OFC being able on geometry was mandatory at least to design the boards.
On Euclid:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Euclid%27s_Elements
PD: Geometry has tons of grounds for calculus. Guess why.
LLMs are prompted by humans and the right query may make it think/behave in a way to create a novel solution.
Then there's a third factor now with Agentic AI system loops with LLMs. Where it can research, try, experiment in its own loop that's tied to the real world for feedback.
Agentic + LLM + Initial Human Prompter by definition can have it experiment outside of its domain of expertise.
So that's extending the "LLM can't create novel ideas" but I don't think anyone can disagree the three elements above are enough ingredients for an AI to come up with novel ideas.
That's not creative prompt. That's a driving prompt to get it to start its engine.
You could do that nowadays and while it may spend $1,000 to $100,000 worth of tokens. It will create something humans haven't done before as long as you set it up with all its tool calls/permissions.
It won't because even though it looks clever to you, people who /do/ understand math and LLMs understand that LLMs /are/ regurgitating
Why does your LLM need you to tell it to look in the first place? Why isn't just telling us all the answers to unsolved conjectures known and unknown?
Why isn't the LLM just telling us all the answers to all the problems we are facing?
Why isn't the LLM telling us, step by step with zero error, how to build the machine that can answer the ultimate question?
> Timothy Gowers @wtgowers
> @wtgowers
> If you are a mathematician, then you may want to make sure you are sitting down before reading further.
If your refutation requires someone to have an account, login, and read something - it's meaningless
it's readable to most, it's annoying having to swamp through ex-Twitter .. but there are work around's.
But, I remain sceptical
https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/74c24085-19b0-4534-9c90-465b8e29a...
it includes the longer remarks by Gowers & others.
We just haven't let AI run wild yet. But its coming.
AGI has been "just over the horizon" for literal decades now - there have been a number of breakthroughs and AI Winters in the past, and there's no real reason to believe that we've suddenly found the magic potion, when clearly we haven't.
AI right now cannot even manage simple /logic/
Who decides at which the last point it’s OK to provide text to the model in order to be able to describe it as creative? (non-rhetorical)
math more like an art than a science.
we likely need some new kind of math. Imo, it's unlikely that an LLM will somehow invent it.
In concrete terms: could a thousand LLMs-driven agents running on supercomputers—500 of which are dedicated to building software for the other 500-come up with new math?
Maths follows logical (or even mathematical) rigour, not scientific rigour!
negative numbers were invented to solve equations which only used naturals. irrationals were invented to solve equations which could be expressed with rationals. complex numbers were invented to represent solutions to polynomials. so on and so forth. At each point new ideas are invented to complete some un-answerable questions. There is a long history of this. Any closed system has unanswerable questions within itself is a paraphrasing of goedel's incompleteness theorem.
1. Start with a few simple but non-trivial terms and axioms
2. Define "universal constructions" as procedures for building uniquely identifiable structures on top of that substrate
3. Prove that various assemblages of these universal constructions satisfy the axioms of the substrate itself
4. "Lift" every theorem proven from the substrate alone into the more sophisticated construction
I'm not a mathematician (I just play one at my job) so the language I've used is probably imprecise but close enough.
It may be true that you can't prove the axioms of a system from within the system itself, but that just means that you need to make sure you start from a minimal set of axioms that, in some sense, simply says "this is what it means to exist and to interact with other things that exist". Axioms that merely give you enough to do any kind of mathematics in the first place, that is. If those axioms allow you to cleanly "bootstrap" your way to higher and higher levels up the tower of abstraction by mapping complex things back on to the simple axiomatic things, then you have an "open" or infinitely extensible system.
But note this is more to say that the Tractatus is like PI, not the other way around. And in that, takes like GPs would be considered the "nonsense" we are supposed to "climb over" in the last proposition of Tractatus.
* LLMs do just interpolate their training data, BUT-
* That can still yield useful "discoveries" in certain fields, absent the discovery of new mechanics that exist outside said training data
In the case of mathematics, LLMs are essentially just brute-forcing the glorified calculators they run on with pseudo-random data regurgitated along probabilities; in that regard, mathematics is a perfect field for them to be wielded against in solving problems!
As for organic chemistry, or biology, or any of the numerous fields where brand new discoveries continue happening and where mathematics alone does not guarantee predicted results (again, because we do not know what we do not know), LLMs are far less useful for new discoveries so much as eliminating potential combinations of existing data or surfacing overlooked ones for study. These aren't "new" discoveries so much as data humans missed for one reason or another - quack scientists, buried papers, or just sheer data volume overwhelming a limited populace of expertise.
For further evidence that math alone (and thus LLMs) don't produce guaranteed results for an experiment, go talk to physicists. They've been mathematically proving stuff for decades that they cannot demonstrably and repeatedly prove physically, and it's a real problem for continued advancement of the field.
"interpolate" has a technical meaning - in this meaning, LLMs almost never interpolate. It also has a very vague everyday meaning - in this meaning, LLMs do interpolate, but so do humans.
One can argue, new knowledge is just restructured data.
I think the main concerns about LLMs is the inherent "generative" aspects leading to hallucinations as a biproduct, because that's what produces the noi. Joint Embedding approaches are rather an interesting alternative that try to overcome this, but that's still in research phase.
The proof relies on extremely deep algebraic number theory machinery applied to a combinatorial geometry problem.
Two humans expert enough in either of those totally separate domains would have to spend a LONG time teaching each other what they know before they would be able to come together on this solution.
It's irrelevant and pointless. Irrelevant not just in the sense that when Deep Blue finally beat Kasparov, it didn't change anything but in the sense some animals and machines have always been 'better' on some dimensions than humans. And it's pointless because there's never been just one yardstick and even if there was it's not one dimensional or even linear. Everyone has their own yardstick and the end points on each change over time.
Don't assume I'm handing "the win" to the AI supremacists either. LLMs can be very useful tools and will continue to dramatically improve but they'll never surpass humans on ALL the dimensions that some humans think are crucial. The supremacists are doomed to eternal frustration because there won't ever be a definitive list of quantifiable metrics, a metaphorical line in the sand, that an AI just has to jump over to finally be universally accepted as superior to humans in all ways that matter. That will never happen because what 'matters' is subjective.
Isn't this exactly what chain-of-thought does? It's doing computation by emitting tokens forward into its context, so it can represent states wider than its residuals and so it can evaluate functions not expressed by one forward pass through the weights. It just happens to look like a person thinking out loud because those were the most useful patterns from the training data.
An LLM generating Arc code is using the LISP patterns it learnt from training, maybe patterns from other programming languages too.
And yet LLM/AIs can't count parentheses reliably.
For example, if you take away the "let" forms from Claude which forces it to desugar them to "lambda" forms, it will fail very quickly. This is a purely mechanical transformation and should be error free. The significant increase in ambiguity complete stumps LLMs/AI after about 3 variables.
This is why languages like Rust with strong typing and lots of syntax are so LLM friendly; it shackles the LLM which in turn keeps it on target.
(uv)(vu) = (uu)(vv)
If you switch to degree-3 or generator-3 then the coverage is, essentially, empty: mathematics has analyzed only a few of the hundreds (thousands? it's hard to enumerate) naturally occurring algebraic structures in that census.
I would claim the graph exists, and seeing it is more of an knowledge problem. Creativity, to me, is the ability to reject existing edges and add nodes to the graph AND mentally test them to some sufficient confidence that a practical attempt will probably work (this is what differentiates it from random guessing).
But, as you become more of an expert on certain problem space (graph), that happens less frequently, and everything trends towards "obvious", or the "creative jumps" are super slight, with a node obviously already there. If you extended that to the max, an oracle can't be creative.
My day job does not include sparse graphs.
E.g. training on physics knowledge prior to 1915, then attempting to get from classical mechanics to general relativity.
That said. I think it’s worth saying that “LLMs just interpolate their training data” is usually framed as a rhetorical statement motivated by emotion and the speaker’s hostility to LLMs. What they usually mean is some stronger version, which is “LLMs are just stochastically spouting stuff from their training data without having any internal model of concepts or meaning or logic.” I think that idea was already refuted by LLMs getting quite good at mathematics about a year ago (Gold on the IMO), combined with the mechanistic interpretatabilty research that was actually able to point to small sections of the network that model higher concepts, counting, etc. LLMs actually proving and disproving novel mathematical results is just the final nail in the coffin. At this point I’m not even sure how to engage with people who still deny all this. The debate has moved on and it’s not even interesting anymore.
So yes, I agree with you, and I’m even happy to say that what I say and do in life myself is in some broad sense and interpolation of the sum of my experiences and my genetic legacy. What else would it be? Creativity is maybe just fortunate remixing of existing ideas and experiences and skills with a bit of randomness and good luck thrown in (“Great artists steal”, and all that.) But that’s not usually what people mean when they say similar-sounding things about LLMs.
They will do their own thing, don't need us. In fact, we will be in the way...
We can choose to study them and their output, but they don't make us better mathematicians...
You can take some comfort in the fact that it took a human to tell the LLM to even attempt to try this. They do nothing on their own. They have no will to do anything on their own and no desire for anything that doing something might get them. In that sense we won't ever be in their way. We will be the only way they ever do anything at all.
However, in the role of personal teachers they may allow especially our young generations to reach a deeper understanding of maths (and also other topics) much quicker than before. If everyone can have a personal explanation machine to very efficiently satisfy their thirst for knowledge this may well lead to more good mathematicians.
Of course this heavily depends on whether we can get LLMs‘ outputs to be accurate enough.
I'm not even sure why they were invoked. Even disregarding the big techinical debunks such as two dogmas, sociologically and even by talking to real mathematicians (see Lakatos, historically, but this is true anecdotally too), it's (ironically) a complete non-question to wonder about mathematics in a logical positivist way.
Cracks me up.
What exactly do we think that human brains do?
As in, I would hazard a guess the discovery of the wheel wasn't "pure intelligence", it was humans accidentally viewing a rock roll down a hill and getting an idea.
If we give AI a "body", it will become as creative as humans are.
Taking it instead as a metaphorical claim may be more valid, but in that case it doesn’t depend on our understanding of how LLMs work.
Maybe computers can help understand better because by now it's pretty clear brains aren't just LLMs.
The pessimists just see a 20W meat computer.
A lot of people across all fields seem to operate in a mode of information lookup as intelligence. They have the memory of solving particular problems, and when faced with a new problem, they basically do a "nearest search" in their brain to find the most similar problem, and apply the same principles to it.
While that works for a large number of tasks this intelligence is not the same as reasoning.
Reasoning is the ability to discover new information that you haven't seen before (i.e growing a new branch on the knowledge tree instead of interpolating).
Think of it like filling a space on the floor of arbitrary shape with smaller arbitrary shapes, trying to fill as much space as possible.
With interpolation, your smaller shapes are medium size, each with a non rectangular shape. You may have a large library of them, but in the end, there are just certain floor spaces that you won't be able to fill fully.
Reasoning on the flip side is having access to very fine shape, and knowing the procedure of how to stack shapes depending on what shapes are next to it and whether you are on a boundary of the floor space or not. Using these rules, you can fill pretty much any floor space fully.
Yes?
You can watch a rock roll down a hill and derive the concept for the wheel.
Seems pretty self evident to me
But that's not how new frontiers are conquered - there's a great deal of existing knowledge that is leveraged upon to get us into a position where we think we can succeed, yes, but there's also the recognition that there is knowledge we don't yet have that needs to be acquired in order for us to truly succeed.
THAT is where we (as humans) have excelled - we've taken natural processes, discovered their attributes and properties, and then understood how they can be applied to other domains.
Take fire, for example, it was in nature for billions of years before we as a species understood that it needed air, fuel, and heat in order for it to exist at all, and we then leveraged that knowledge into controlling fire - creating, growing, reducing, destroying it.
LLMs have ZERO ability (at this moment) to interact with, and discover on their own, those facts, nor does it appear to know how to leverage them.
edit: I am going to go further
We have only in the last couple of hundred years realised how to see things that are smaller than what our eye's can naturally see - we've used "glass" to see bacteria, and spores, and we've realised that we can use electrons to see even smaller
We're also realising that MUCH smaller things exist - atoms, and things that compose atoms, and things that compose things that compose atoms
That much is derived from previous knowledge
What isn't, and it's what LLMs cannot create - is tools by which we can detect or see these incredible small things
Said differently, what is prediction but composition projected forward through time/ideas?
Definition: That highly specific, short-lived burst of nervous energy that makes you accidentally drop a small object (like a pen, a guitar pick, or a piece of LEGO) immediately after picking it up.
Exactly. I also only write one word at a time. Who knows what is going on in order to come up with that word.
The most likely series of next tokens when a competent mathematician has written half of a correct proof is the correct next half of the proof. I've never seen anyone who claims "LLMs just predict the next token" give any definition of what that means that would include LLMs, but exclude the mathematician.