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It wouldn't have mattered how long copyright is if it wasn't expanded beyond the immediate economic desincentives that it is supposed to address for the most insidious problems it causes. It should be been limited exclusively to the combined right to reproduction and distribution. Yes, that means that I could reproduce the protected work without limit, so long as don't distribute it. Also means that I could distribute the protected work so long as I do only the copies I acquired.

I, like you, through for a while that length was the problem, now I've poked around enough and known about enough actual examples where shorter length wouldn't have prevented the problems that happens with copyright. The content Sony had repeatedly removed from people's libraries was well within copyright term, shorter copyright wouldn't have saved it. What would have saved it is copyright scope that never extended to controlling access to copies already sold

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" Since 1990, The Walt Disney Company had lobbied for copyright extension. The legislation delayed the entry into the public domain of the earliest Mickey Mouse cartoons, leading detractors to the nickname "The Mickey Mouse Protection Act".

In addition to Disney, California congresswoman Mary Bono (Sonny Bono's widow and Congressional successor), and the estate of composer George Gershwin supported the act. Mary Bono, speaking on the floor of the United States House of Representatives, said:

    Actually, Sonny wanted the term of copyright protection to last forever. I am informed by staff that such a change would violate the Constitution. ... As you know, there is also [then-MPAA president] Jack Valenti's proposal for term to last forever less one day. Perhaps the Committee may look at that next Congress.
"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copyright_Term_Extension_Act

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Drug patents are much more short-lived and there's arguably more money invested in drug discovery than in, say, writing a fiction novel. IMO copyright should be limited to 20-30 years. Not that LLM labs care anyway.
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But it's much more important that a cancer drug become cheap and readily available than any "youth adult" novel slop
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> Drug patents are much more short-lived

It doesn't make sense to extend drug patent lengths though because often enough, after the release of a compound, it takes just a few years for a new and updated version of it to be researched.

However, the counterpoint can also be made that it should be extended, as the permit process for medical compounds takes years and costs billions, with the short patent lifetime forcing pharma companies to command absurd prices just to recoup the R&D cost.

(IMHO: the system on how we research pharmaceuticals and how we fund it must be drastically reformed. The question is, how do we prevent China and India from just taking our research and copying it for free, it's already bad enough)

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Issue of pharma development is not that you need a protection from copycats. You need to pass a mountain of regulations and bureaucracy. Most of the medications are easily copyable but would take years to be able to get to the market.

See insulin prices difference in europe vs US

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> The question is, how do we prevent China and India from just taking our research and copying it for free

centralize all chemistry research behind the closed doors, weapon-level export controls on U.S.-made fever drugs simply because they are U.S.-made, severely control international collaboration, and so much more.

the problem is that the scientific community will rightfully revolt and the rest of the world will pull ahead of the U.S. in a relatively short amount of time. plus, since open science will have been long dead in the U.S. under such conditions, random breakthroughs at a basement or a non-prestigious university will cease to exist as a concept.

China and India piggybacking is the least bad thing to happen. rather, it's an indicator of how open the open science in the U.S. is

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> China and India piggybacking is the least bad thing to happen.

So... the US and European tax- and insurance payers are supposed to pay the billions of dollars for R&D and amortization, just for China to copy everything?

It's bad enough if China does that for their internal market. But they don't stop there, their clones and fakes flood back into our markets as well, leading to regular warnings such as [1] from government authorities for consumer safety.

This is unsustainable on so many levels, it needs to stop.

[1] https://www.swissmedic.ch/swissmedic/de/home/humanarzneimitt...

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> It doesn't make sense to extend drug patent lengths though because often enough, after the release of a compound, it takes just a few years for a new and updated version of it to be researched.

I think this is an inversion of cause and effect.

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I know someone in pharma.

They drop insane money up front to do a trial, get approved, and then have low single-digit years to recoup all that investment before the new medication goes off patent a competitor markets a generic that blows up the market and likely isn't as well-tested.

And then, in the extreme case, you might get blown away on the street and have your murderer canonized.

But I guess that AI will fix all these perverse incentives Real Soon Now.

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> And then, in the extreme case, you might get blown away on the street and have your murderer canonized.

Ahem

That was health insurance. Different beast.

Not excusing pharma, but that bit of extreme casting doesn’t really belong in the conversation.

Like most things in life, “It Depends” is probably applicable, here. Copyright, patents, and trademark exist for a reason.

Abuse of these structures, is the real issue.

Like people that argue for unfettered capitalism, or total legalization of all vice, we need to think about basic human nature, when discussing these things. That doesn’t happen, usually. It’s either all or nothing. We don’t consider that moderation, and benevolent structure, are possible (which they might not always be, considering human nature).

The hard part is imposing just enough structure to ensure that we get maximum effect.

About a month ago, there was a post about the “Pareto Front,” that point at which maximum desired effect is achieved, with optimal resource usage, and side effects. The zenith.

That can also apply to social infrastructure, but it’s really, really difficult, and lawyers and social scientists don’t think that way.

I honestly feel as if very few people take basic human nature into account, when designing pretty much anything.

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Pay attention to "might". The difference between health insurance and pharma is academic when hate-mongers are asserting authority.
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That can be applied to anything, including tech. I don't think bringing in extremes, improves the conversation.

I seem to remember a guy living in a cabin, writing manifestos, and mailing bombs to tech people and academics.

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So someone who has suffered incurable harm and damage at the hands of health insurers is a "hate monger" while the health insurance executive prioritising their company profits over human health is just a normal person doing their normal job?

If that's true then that value system is entirely messed up and needs to be burned to the ground and rebuilt.

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Copyright isn’t just fiction novels. Copyright drives investment in books, media, software etc.
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And still would all the same with a 20 year term instead of what we have now…

It’s so rare for any work to still be making money that long that it would hardly change the calculation.

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Not for e. g. 70 years.

I think most people are in support of some financial incentives via protection, but 70 years is just insane.

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Very much this. And another problem is that the US forced most of the world to adopt similar laws through various cartels, oh, sorry, trade agreements. I distinctly remember when suddenly it was no longer okay to openly sell pirated software in Russia "because we're joining WTO". I still have no idea why we joined it.
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reminds me of the DMCA which was essentially forced to be approved

https://youtu.be/O0-j89LJysY

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Original copyright was 14 years + 14 years - then it was changed to 28.

I'd love to see it brought back down to that again.

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> If copyright lasted two years instead, all the problems with it would be much less severe.

If you spend five years writing a book and then get to sell it for two years, and everyone will just think "I'll get it in two years", you might not like that.

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Lack of protections didn't stop Homer and a "few" others.
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Unless you were paid during those five years
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Who's going to pay you to work for five years for a book that has a two-year commercial window, and even for that many people won't buy it until another company that just does printing sells it for half price two years from the first published date?
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Well, if you could somehow guarantee that your book would sell enough copies in that two-year window to make a million dollars profit, it would make sense to pay you a reasonable salary for the five years it takes you to write it. It's not completely implausible that people would pay for something that could be had for cheaper soon, considering that there are grifters selling "new editions" (with a publication date in the future, to game recency-biased search algorithms) of out-of-copyright works that are available for free elsewhere.

The real problem is that it's hard to predict the commercial success of a creative work, especially when it doesn't exist yet. Publishing is a hit-based where most books barely sell, but then a few make more than enough to cover the losses incurred by giving long-shot authors a chance.

With much shorter copyright terms, I guess only sequels of already-popular works would get significant funding.

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I’m pretty sure they meant the “post death” copyright, considering the context.
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One should pay a exponential "upholding" fee doubling every year of copyright. People would be very careful with clinging to rights- when they have a yearly break even.
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Two years is too short because it won't protect from commercial exploition against a creators wishes.
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The creator is not the only person to consider here. We don't grant copyrights just to give creators a funny kind of royalty-pension they can pass to their heirs. We grant copyrights to encourage production of new works for the benefit of the public. Copyright ultimately must be judged on how well it serves the public benefit, not on how much power or wealth it gives to authors directly (at the expense of others).
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Did you ever publish anything? First year or two it is mostlu pushing marketing/pr, and the long tail of trickle of money is where the true earnings lie. Also, for many works of art it takes more than 2 years to produce a next piece, and even if it was less, it’s not sure if it will actually sell.

Anything below 5-10 years and you have literal starving authors. Anything less than 5 and you may as well abolish it altogether.

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we have literal "starving authors" - they pretty much all need second jobs to survive.

for the authors themselves I don't see much difference between having no copyright at all and being thrown a few pennies on their work from amazon. either way the ability to make a living from those pennies clearly isnt motivating them.

the future jk rowlings of the world will still buy lottery tickets to fame and fortune whether or not she ends up being worth $20 million (weak/no copyright) or $1 billion (strong copyright).

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What you are describing is the view of copyright set down in the US Constitution, but it doesn't necessarily apply to the rest of the world. In many countries, copyright is strongly bound up with the author's moral rights.
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I'd rather give it to individuals than corporations at least. It's useful as a lever to protect the weak from the powerful. Perhaps it should simply not be transferable? Another alternative would be for its power to weaken over time in some way.
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Then you will prevent corporations from paying authors to create work altogether.
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You don't think they would still pay them for the right to publish, if not ownership of the copyright itself?
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They can still sell the stuff for 10-20 years and make a huge profit. They just can't use it for multi-generational runaway growth.
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We live in a world where there is an absolute abundance of art, music, novels. You can find it everywhere, huge amounts of it either free or very cheaply.

In what way is the system as it exists currently failing to encourage the creation of new works?

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It encourages creation of new works just fine, but at the expense of creating billions of tiny monopolies that last for generations, which get aggregated into huge monopolies, ultimately making ordinary people into criminals for wanting to preserve or modify the works that make up their culture.

My point is that it doesn't need to do that. Copyright could still encourage creation of new works with a much shorter duration, without the downside of locking our culture up in monopolies for life + 70.

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None of that contravenes the purpose of copyright in encouraging the creation and sharing of new works.

You could equally solve the issue by providing provisions for archival. Or a provision that requires a work to be freely available for sale.

The creator having a monopoly on the work seems to me to encourage the creation and sharing of work as intended.

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Most of that art is being created irrespective of copyright, though. Much of it uses exceptions to copyright and some is straight up in violation (most "fan art"/fanfiction). It's either not monetised or monetised through things like Patreon.

I wouldn't say we have more "traditional" art that an author spends time creating with the vision of selling copies for years to come, than we did when copyright terms were shorter.

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I doubt that's true.

Is there a lot of fan art, yes, there's also massive amounts of original works as well. There is no lack of either.

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Mandating that creators lose control and the ability to profit from their work almost immediately will absolutely not encourage the production of new works.
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> We grant copyrights to encourage production of new works for the benefit of the public

Which includes giving creators royalty rights that can be passed on to their heirs, so the elder author can finish their manuscript on their deathbed as a gift to their family.

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Congress has currently chosen a duration of life + 70, but my point is that it's absurdly far beyond anything necessary to encourage the production of new works. When you consider the costs of copyright monopolies to the public, it's clearly out of whack. As I said, the majority of revenue from copyrighted works happens in the first couple of years of release.
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I completely agree that life+70 is absolutely obscene, as my response to your parent post clarifies. I moved on from that since I thought my stance was clear (14 + 14 or 28 total), and moved on to “we should still honor the copyright even if they die, because heirs matter.”

NEVER have I argued for life+70 and I never will.

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Has this ever happened, or is it a scenario you made up in your mind?

I know a few great works were published posthumously, but most of these were because somebody thought it was really important to share, not because it was a golden goose they wanted to start... milking.

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I don’t have a specific example; but I don’t like the idea of an author, photographer, painter, songwriter, etc’s familt losing their copyright because their plane crashed the day after they recorded a record.

And again, to be clear, since apparently people think I’m defending life+70. I am abso-fucking-lutely not.

I want 14+14 or raw 28 back.

Edit: oh apparently I do, thanks Kagi Assistant.

Otis Redding Died in a plane crash literally 3 days after recording a famous track and his family earned a LOT after his passing.

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He was arguing against two years. A lifetime is fine.
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> We don't grant copyrights to give authors a kind of royalty-based pension for their old age and their heirs.

"We" is doing a lot of work here. I realize that it's basically impossible for an entire population to have coherent motivations, but I support copyright because I think artists have the right to control what happens with their work and to sell it if they can. I believe that this right extends, like all rights, until the end of the author's life. I don't really care one bit about encouraging the production of new works.

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How about "We the people", as stated in the Constitution? The Constitution itself defines the purpose of copyright, and it is not the purpose you state.
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> until the end of the author's life.

which is too long, and also too short - what about authors who wrote finished their book on their deathbed? Then their rights are shorter than someone young - an unfair discrimination.

That's why age should be irrelevant. Copyright is useful, and should be granted. However, current copyright grants last far too long - age plus some years beyond. Not to mention corporations lobbying to increase the length right as some copyrights for some works are about to enter public domain.

Therefore, copyright should be granted for a single period and end - like patents. 20 years seems to be a good middle ground, but i could hear arguments for slightly longer or shorter.

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Same exact duration for all authors: as long as they’re around and capable of caring. It’s not the same when duration is expressed numerically, sure. But consider: no life is the same in this way (until immortality is discovered), yet all should be valued equally (or so I hope and believe). Timing life makes them unavoidably unequal - and thus differences in lifetime shouldn’t be a criteria to use for comparing rights. That’d be actual age discrimination.

I suggest to rather look at it under the angle whether estates should be able to inherit author’s identity (or some of it), to continue the will.

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Nothing is going to protect moneyless creator against multi-billion transnational greed-driven corporations equipped with lawyer armies if the law actually encourage these corporations to actually thrive and further harden the rules in their own interests.

Abolishing the copyright or not is not that important if nothing is done in front of that to guarantee that every single human are granted unconditional access to decent life conditions.

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Just make it 20 years, like patents.
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You're free to release your own work with Creative Commons License (or any other license that shorten the copyright).

> Copyright is a monopoly that the government creates on purpose

Creative work takes a lot of effort and resources (ex: movie production, games, books (hello Knuth)) and can be easily copied/imitated in a digital age.

It you think copyright should be shorter to everyone, then inheriting something valuable shouldn't be a thing as well?

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> It you think copyright should be shorter to everyone, then inheriting something valuable shouldn't be a thing as well?

inheritance has nothing to do with copyright. Financial assets are not monopolies. Copyright is only a valuable asset because of the granted monopoly on copying/distribution.

Therefore, to reduce the value copyright has (as it currently does seem to have too much), reducing the granted terms should be sufficient. Like patents, a good 20 years seems like a sufficiently long time to recover cost of production, while letting people who are currently alive to produce derivatives of it afterwards.

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Why you want to reduce value of creative work, but not a value of other assets? I think copyright should be as long as ownership of any other asset.

If I spend $20m on building a house or creating a computer game, why house can be inherited indefinitely and creative work is not? I would have a monopoly on this specific building and on this specific creative work, but anyone is free to build/create anything else.

If J. Rowling created Harry Potter universe, why her family can't own it indefinitely? We somehow accept this notion for other assets, but treat copyright differently.

p.s. creative work is more valuable as it has something that money can't buy (authenticity, taste, sincerity, etc)

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>Why you want to reduce value of creative work, but not a value of other assets?

The framing isn't charitable. People want to weaken copyright because it is a government granted monopoly. There are negative economic effects (i.e., for everyone) to government granted monopolies. Other assets generally aren't government granted monopolies.

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Owning the copyright to a work grants the exclusive right to profit off that work, but so does owning a house grant the exclusive right to profit off that house. House ownership is not a monopoly because there are other houses, and you can build a new one if there's sufficient demand to justify the cost. Similarly, copyright ownership is not a monopoly because there are other copyrighted works, and you can make a new one if there's sufficient demand to justify the cost.

The negative economic effects of monopolies stem from a lack of competition leading to insufficient supply, but there's no lack of competition or insufficient supply of copyrighted works. Even if copyright were indefinite like other property rights, it wouldn't stymie the supply of new works, but rather expand investment due to raising the future expected profit.

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> copyright ownership is not a monopoly because there are other copyrighted works

they are not fungible, unlike houses.

Also, if you could copy a house like you could copy digital goods (i would download a car), i am also going to claim that the "monopoly" on the house must also be shortened.

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> why house can be inherited indefinitely and creative work is not

Because copying houses is inherently expensive, while copying creative works is inherently free. To make creative works act like houses you have to add artificial cost to copying, which is a tax the public has to pay for the entire duration of copyright.

If the public has to pay a tax they should get something out of it, and that something is the incentive for authors to create new works. But does copyright have to be for life + 70 in order to incentivize new works? Clearly not! It could be much shorter while still providing plenty of incentive.

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Public doesn't pay a creative tax. You're free to buy or not buy any creative work. This is different with other assets though, you have to pay someone indefinitely to rent a place to live, even though building (or land) was built hundreds years ago and just gets inherited by new generation of landlords every 75 years.
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> You're free to buy or not buy any creative work.

You also don't have to rent/buy a place to live, but I wouldn't want to live a life without a roof over my head or access to creative works of my culture. When you accept that access to media is a necessity (and people today do treat it as such, just try finding someone who doesn't listen to music, watch videos, read books...), you clearly see that having copyright is a decision made by the state that results in wealth transfer from every citizen to authors and publishers.

Those authors/publishers do provide value, so it's not necessarily a bad thing, but as with every market intervention, the specifics need to be carefully considered.

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>If I spend $20m on building

Why don't the builders get infinite royalties on use of that house? Wouldn't that also be reasonable. At least as long as it stands. I don't think that would be unfair comparison.

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> Why don't the builders get infinite royalties on use of that house

They do, some build to rent indefinitely or sell to other who rent out the property.

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I mean the actual workers. I do not get royalty checks for the building I helped on during one summer. Homeowners don't send monthly money to workers that build their house or renovated it.
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It's the same in creative work creation, no? Filming crew / game devs don't own any copyright and property rights. They explicitly give it up under contract/hiring terms.
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Her family can own their copies of Harry Potter forever.

But copyright restricts others from building on top of previous works. Can her family forever sue anyone into poverty for naming a wizard “Harry”? Does that even make sense in 100 years from now when most people have never heard of Harry Potter anymore?

For your building analogy, it would be more like the builders created your building there, and now you own it. It has a red roof and blue shutters. And also the government passed a law that said nobody else can own a building ever again with a red roof and blue shutters, otherwise you, the owner of the idea of those colors, can take possession of every new building like that.

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Harry Potter copyright is still being heavily utilized (milked?) 30 years after the first book's release.
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Now you are using the legislators' rationale that money is being made so we need to protect that, forgetting to weigh the cost for the community.
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That's an outlier. Most works don't see so much public interest after such a long time.
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But why should this be allowed? Fairy tales are still popular, but they don't have copyright either.
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It would make sense to make it possible, but increasingly expensive to extend the copyright. It's fine for Disney to keep their successful creations, it just makes no sense to drag all other copyrighted works in existence along for the ride.
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You want to tip the balance even more in favour of the richest corporations? Really?

We're there already, considering the cost of actually enforcing your rights, but it would be bizarre to codify that into law.

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I'm not sure what your point is. Harry Potter is in the top ten highest grossing media franchises ever. Sure, top 10 franchises make a lot of money, but they're outliers. Is it in the public interest to grant every author in the country a copyright monopoly for life + 70 so that we can ensure JK Rowling's grandchildren continue to make billions from Harry Potter? Clearly not!
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Also the issue is that it’s time capped only instead instead of having also a profit capped threshold.
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Profit cap would be unworkable, Hollywood is already famous for creative accounting… No work would ever reach it on paper (while actually making many times more).
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I'm still waiting to get my first revenue from copyright content I created 10 years ago. Not everyone gets instant recognition.
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> and yet we extend copyright 70

That's an americocentric view. Copyrights are shorter around the world. In fact, iirc, US has some of the longest ones.

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>Copyright is a monopoly that the government creates on purpose.

Copyright doesn't just protect profit-generation with the property - it also ensures the original material is not altered over time.

Alas, this is a very useful function of copyright and basically ensures that good works remain good, and don't get easily subverted.

In this day and age, though, we've evolved better methods to ensure this alteration of original content doesn't have a negative impact (whether on the profit-making or indeed on behalf of the final user of the material).

Governments could shift from enforcing the copyright monopoly, to providing an open, public, free fingerprinting service - akin to a PKI for all content - which would allow entitites to copy materials, but also allow individuals to verify immutable materials.

>We shouldn't be handing out generational monopolies willy-nilly.

Agreed. We should, though, be making sure the end-date is set for 'verified materials' to a period appropriate for re-verification by human means ...

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Copyright does no such thing. The copyright owner is free to alter or change their material at any time, or to discard it and force it to remain unused until it deteriorates and is destroyed (e.g. video game preservation is mostly done by copyright violators).
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Of course it does, don't be myopic.

There is a very good reason that we all read the same copy of Orwells' 1984: because the copyright was enforced to ensure the work was not altered. This is ++good.

That the originator/owner of the copyright is still able to assert agency over their works is the end result of copyright being used effectively. That some choose to end the lifetime of their works, an entirely acceptable result of the policy mechanism.

I still maintain that its utility in preserving works outweighs the history of works being lost due to originator/owner agency. I concur, however, that there are better ways to accomplish this in this day and age ... information does want to be free, after all.

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