It's not fun to think of a future where knowledge workers become irrelevant in society and we're back to just physical work and managerial elites.
Just like in past history.
Yes, it sucks, for software engineers, those in the past, and those in the future. As long as you and others fall for the straw man perhaps you and others will get more and more tricked and hurt, misplacing your aggression and hatred on each other rather than those receiving most of the extracted value.
Yes in some cases, but the reduced costs also allow lower prices which benefits all consumers of whatever product is being produced. At least for those products where there is a competitive market.
The economist John Keynes predicted almost 100 years ago that technological advances would lead to a 15 hour workweek. If AI now makes you 5x as productive, then why aren't you working 1 day a week for the same pay? Why didn't Keynes' vision come true.
governments implemented (and still implement) keynesian economics, and it has turned out to be a very bad idea and he was very very wrong.
I don't personally grieve for the likes of Strogatz or Tao, it seems likely both of them will be fine however this pans out. But many more mathematicians have been toiling away in precarity and obscurity and without tenure for years and years. And of course many mathematicians went into private sector roles as software engineers, actuaries, analysts, ML engineers and similar, and have been displaced there, too.
And highly visible blog posts written by famous mathematicians with large audiences and closely aligned with the news and hype cycles getting frontpaged on HN doesn't mean that mathematicians are disproportionately whiney, nor that software engineers aren't also writing about their plight or ending up on the front page as well.
Neither sits right with me. Can't we just all collectively acknowledge that we have to grapple with this new piece of technology that either is already or at least seems to be going to be hurtful to a lot of individuals?
Instead of looking at the in comparison limited group of people currently pushing this technology and asking ourselves whether we should be on board with their doing, we look to one another and are happy that someone else is now suffering just the same as we are. What a sad state of affairs.
I know this intimately because I identify, roughly, as a programmer first and security researcher second. Guess which two fields ai companies decided to specialize in first? Yes, the FML ones.
The intellectually rewarding part of my job/skills - the only reason I enjoyed them - are, not completely gone yet, but threatened. And shrinking. This is a very scary observation.
I know from ‘isomorphic situations’ lessons in history that fighting the tide is pointless. I have to decide intelligently how to respond. Easier said than done when your livelihood and identity are at stake.
For now I still have a job but I and everyone around me is worried. In a year, At best our jobs will be very different.
So yes I empathize with these mathematicians enormously.
Math journals commonly reject papers as “out of scope” or “not of sufficient interest” without an editor or referee actually reading them. So it’s not as if the “math community” was checking these papers for accuracy in the first place. Now AI speeds up the creation of papers that go unread, and we’re supposed to pity mathematicians? If journals and experts can’t be bothered to read the papers, why should authors bother to write them without AI? And suddenly mathematicians are worried about AI papers being “too hard to read,” even though that wasn’t a concern pre-AI, when no one was reading them anyway. Too bad. The incentive structure now points toward AI, and mathematicians share the blame for that.
AI is going to suck hard for lots of professions, software engineers and mathematicians included. I think it's much more productive for folks in these professions to show solidarity with each other given the way AI will disrupt their livelihoods, rather than showing disdain based on who you think may have it slightly better.
Are phones an "automation of existing jobs"? Maybe couriers (??), but most of what people use them for goes far beyond that.
What about the software used to drive trains or autopilot planes? We still have conductors and pilots, but now the outcomes are safer on average and more efficient.
Or something like Google Maps -- all that replaced was the paper booklet people used to keep in their cars, it's not like we used to employ 'navigators' to go out on a road trip.
Or something like Intuit QuickBooks: there's still an accountant in the loop, and if anything more accountants today than there were a few decades ago.
Certainly some software is essentially automatory in nature. But to characterize 'nearly all' as being such just betrays a lack of awareness for the rest of the field.
> That one is somehow deserving of sympathy and that of mathematicians is not
He didn't say that mathematicians aren't deserving, he was griping that people said this about SWEs. Do you think mathematicians are deserving but SWEs aren't?
You seem to be unaware of the existence switchboard operators (people redirecting calls to the correct person) were hundreds of thousands in the US alone at some point.
The words and excels of the world, automating documentation and bookkeepery. It all makes some kind of existing thing we already do faster and more convenient, and often more efficient. Most software simply does nothing new. The thing you didnt manage to list which is the actually good example is games.
The bean counters laying off software engineers ought to take notes from the frontier labs' own hiring practices. They're still hiring lots of humans for business and engineering roles even when they would be better positioned than anyone to automate away those jobs with their world-class models (https://openai.com/careers/search/).
Generalization fallacy, survivorship bias, etc.
Say you have a friend who likes making music (not professionally - just a hobby).
If an invention came out tomorrow that took the joy completely out of making music, would you respond with "It's hard for me to feel sorry about you."
Just because things suck for you doesn't mean it can't suck for others (in different ways).
In my undergrad math department, only 2-3 faculty members out of a dozen bothered with grants.
What does your being software engineer has anything to do with feeling sorry for Mathematicians' job ?
It's a classic "I have it worse than them...everyone should feel sorry for ME and not them".
In many ways it will likely be the opposite. Tech firms still need engineers to talk to customers and run experiments. What will the mathematicians be needed for?
This is said by a lot of CEOs trying to make layoffs look good, but I haven’t seen anything that suggests that it’s true.
> Yet I see far more of these blogs about the plight of mathematicians, not enough about the plight of software engineers.
Really?!? We’ve been living through 3 years of blog posts, LinkedIn hot takes, and podcasts talking about the plight of software engineers in the era of AI. There isn’t a week that goes by without an HN post about it.
I can feel empathy for the practitioners in a field that may have been profoundly changed, the same way I can feel empathy toward software engineers who are struggling with the changes in their own field.
In the end, we’re all trying to figure out where this leads. And how this will affect our lives and our work.
It's not like the options are write software or starve. Billions of people find jobs and can feed their families without writing software.
I also don't often meet junior software engineers who actually have families to feed. Most juniors work in the industry for a few years before deciding to get married and have kids.
At that point they won't be software engineers
A very small fraction of people who get math degrees actually continue to do math in their careers. They usually have to get other jobs in order to survive (actuary, teacher, finance, etc.). Academic math funding was already drying up for last few years, and now AI will probably cause more cuts. Not to mention that academic math positions have never paid particularly well.
I feel bad for anyone who can't find a job, but the software industry as a whole has been the cushiest industry for decades, and the current turbulence seems more temporary (and driven by corporate greed) than a systematic destruction of the trade.
Unfortunately this often means moving away from family. What are you going to say to the kid whose parents toiled to get him through college on the expectation that he would be able to take care of them? "Sorry Mom, I have to move to North Dakota to work on the oilfields"?