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> ”It's being sold in two modes. One with cold gas (no combustion) … and one with real combustion rocket engines”

No, both versions use cold gas thrusters. There are no combustion rocket engines involved here.

The difference between the “thrust” and “rocket” versions is the number of thrusters: “rocket” has additional thrusters that enable it to fly. The “thrust” version just has them at the back for acceleration.

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I'm wondering if its going to be a model like I think Ferrari calls it Cliente Ferrari. Where the car stays with Ferrari, they put on track days at great tracks all over the world. Bring Pro Driver Coaches, Mechanics , Massage Therapists, five star chefs Data Analysts to review your performance. From my understanding Ferrari makes a lot of money doing that.
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That would make sense for the rocket version. I have my doubts it'll ever be more than this demo though.
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> Ok, so it actually flies.

For a few seconds. It's a parlor trick. And the flying configuration will not be street-legal.

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“Yeah my dog plays piano, but only one chord at a time.”
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“Parlor trick” - it’s a flying car ffs. It’s an incredible engineering accomplishment, even if just for a few seconds
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It's barely a shell of a proper car, complete gimmick for "car people" who think car industry came to be with Tesla two decades ago
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"Just a good ol' boys, Never meanin' no harm". Cars have been flying for a few seconds on a regular basis since the 70s.
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If this is the metric of a flying car then we had working prototypes in the 60s.
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> It’s an incredible engineering accomplishment

Many of the best parlor tricks are.

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It’s falling with style
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Any car can be made to fly if "just for a few seconds" is as stringent as your requirements get.
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my honda civic can fly too if I floor it on the hill nearby.
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> It’s an incredible engineering accomplishment

Yeah just like the Tesla screen in the car. Quite a problem since it lacks physical buttons.

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Rockets have been around for a hundred years.
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It's not a flying car in the way that anyone ever imagined growing up. When people think flying cars they think blade runner or fifth element. Not a car that can jump, interesting as a jumping car may be.

And frankly I'm not sure the engineering is all that impressive. I'm sure someone could've done similar a long time ago, there's just no point to it beyond, well, the parlor trick. Even millionaires have no use for a single seat, road-illegal vehicle with no storage that happens to be able to jump

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No, but people will definitely buy the thrust version for the track, if it's ever built. (And assuming most tracks and drag strips even allow using the thrusters, which I doubt.)
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It's a joke. A clever trick. To what end? ... absolute joke.

Do you know what gets me excited? Have you seen the new Porsche Mission S?

Form, function and beauty ...

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> Do you know what gets me excited? Have you seen the new Porsche Mission S?

It's a glorified Beetle.

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Use case imagined: Jumping off cliffs onto side roads. That makes it more than a parlor trick.
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That makes it a disaster waiting to happen.
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And not just for the person driving it, too.
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  > Tesla doesn't have a great record anyways.
If I'm not mistaken, and please somebody correct me if I am mistaken, Teslas meet or exceed the absolute highest safety regulations in the US and in Europe.
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They have the highest rate of fatal accidents across all car brands, more than double the average.

https://www.roadandtrack.com/news/a62919131/tesla-has-highes...

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Your link is to an article that references an iSeeCars study from two years ago. They got their crash data from NHTSA FARS, but got their mileage data from sales of used cars on their platform. At the time I noticed some issues with their mileage data.[1] It's very likely that Teslas sold on their platform have very low mileage compared to average, because people either sell a car quickly after buying it or hang on to it for years. This also lines up with the fact that the other cars in their unsafe list were all released recently.

Working backwards from their stats & FARS data, I calculated that for their claims to be true, each Model Y would need to accumulate only 4,300 miles per year. This is far below Tesla's reports of 13,000-14,000 miles per year. Also iSeeCars claimed that an average of 2.8 vehicles were involved in fatal accidents for every billion miles traveled. But at the time the US had 13.3 deaths per billion miles traveled. So for their data to be correct, the average fatal accident would need to have five fatalities.

1. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42209142

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Your comment is—at best—misleading. See the last two paragraphs of the article:

> The study's authors make clear that the results do not indicate Tesla vehicles are inherently unsafe or have design flaws.... Many of the other cars that ranked highly on the list have also been given high ratings for safety by the likes of IIHS and the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration, as well....

> “The models on this list likely reflect a combination of driver behavior and driving conditions, leading to increased crashes and fatalities”....

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could be that Tesla making fans believe their level 2 driving automation is better than it actually is and marketing BS terms like Autopilot and FSD contributing to the fatal accident stat. even if the car itself is rated safe by IIHS, isn't that mostly about how well driver and passenger of the car fare when they are involved in different types of accidents? the safety rating wouldn't take into account whether the manufacturer has done its best to accurately communicate capability of its driving automation system to its customers. and i think pedestrian or passengers of other cars dying is counted under the fatal accident stat.

and if you've been in Teslas that are a few years old, you might have experienced phantom braking. random hard braking for no apparent reason. i try to avoid being behind Teslas on the road if i can help it.

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You forgot to point out which part of the comment was misleading
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The discussion was about the car's safety, not driver behavior. A car can be the safest car, but if the drivers who choose that car all decide to drive it off a cliff, it doesn't speak at all to the safety of the car, it speaks to driver behavior.
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We should definitely be excited about the customers that drive off cliffs now being offered a car which contains a bomb
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Yes, it's a bomb, but there's no way in hell it's going to be legalized for public road use in the US or EU. It was a cool demo, it's literally a flying car, how could that not be cool.

Perhaps some billionaires will buy it, good for them.

Why do you guys contort yourselves into knots trying to find any and every conceivable problem with something that doesn't affect you ... get over it already. Go ahead and flag me.

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Safety of a car is a different axis than safety of the driver. That combines them. Related, it's why performance cars have higher insurance rates: people who buy fast cars go fast.
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I would claim "has a most basic understanding of statistics".
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i think some self selecting populations are skewed.

i remember reading about the first cobra in the 60's, where a huge percentage of the owners didn't live to make the second payment.

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This is silly. I bought my Model Y specifically because its safety is so high. You can see it in (1) the crash rate numbers when using FSD, (2) the crash-test ratings are fantastic, and (3) impossible situations where people survived such as plummeting off a cliff on route 1.
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EU safety regs are pass/fail - there's no sources stating Tesla have exceeded anything there, they need to pass in order to be sold in Europe, so they've done whatever the minimum required is for that. To do so, they've needed to make numerous compromises & changes to their cars to make them fit for the EU market - notably no FSD. Hardly indicative of a car brand that exceeds anything.

As for US safety standards, that seems a lower bar...

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Europe requires removal of FSD. US safety standards "seems a lower bar"

Quite ironic.

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Isn’t FSD fully allowed in the Netherlands?
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Like the people who get trapped in case of accident when the electricity fail and is burned inside?
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Damn that's exactly what happened recently to someone here, it seems to be a recurring thing, a safer battery technology will probably fix that later
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A billionaire died in one that went into the water: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68622898
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Every Tesla ever made has a door release that doesn't require any electricity.
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The discovery of which is an exercise left for the participant in this exciting escape room on wheels.

https://vsp.virginia.gov/virginia-state-police-trooper-rescu...

And 14 others - that I'm aware of - to date.

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It does come with a manual.
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It’s poor design if you have to read the manual to find a critical safety feature.
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Which I'm sure you hand out to all of your passengers in pre-flight.
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Are there mandatory safety briefings when you climb in your Uber?
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You shouldn't need to read a manual to figure out how to open the door of your car.
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I once read a claim that the greatest UI design ever was the silver metal patch on building doors, which indicate where you should push.
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I'll be sure to request it from my Uber driver who I'm sure will let me study it before departing
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That may be so, but these are two very different things:

[has X]

[has X designed, built, and visible in the car such that it can be easily found and operated whilst panicking for your life, or rushing from outside while trying to save a trapped passenger's life]

There are people who would tell you that while Tesla may have the first, it does not have the latter, but they cannot because they are dead, and should not be.

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The “Cybertruck” (ffs …) is not legal in the EU due to safety regulations, so I would say that you are mistaken.
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And yet, here's one in Poland, which is in EU: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nfMEz8eJZc

I personally saw one in Krakow, Poland.

Cybertruck does not have EU homologation so Tesla can't sell it in EU. Because at the moment they don't want to.

You can buy it, import it and certify for legal use. It requires minor modifications but is perfectly legal.

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Says more about the EU than about the Cybertruck.
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What, that the EU cares about the effects of products on people other than the purchaser?

That things which are good for an individual but bad for everyone else deserve scrutiny?

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Stupid Europeans (and Australians) for protecting pedestrians, what a bunch of woke pussies ?
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It's not legal because it's unsafe for pedestrians, not for people inside the car.
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That still seems like the kind of safety we should care about
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So, it's unsafe.
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Interesting POV
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So we agree, it's unsafe
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That feels like it's much more "by design" than "cannot meet regulations".
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Immaterial to the original claim.
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“We designed the Tesla Deathtrap 300 to explicitly break any regulations regarding danger to human life”
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> Wild that they devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible model. I wonder if the combustion version will even break 3 figures sales.

This is just going to make it even more desirable to a certain market segment.

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But unless that market segment pays 1000x for it, that won't help Tesla.
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Where the heck did you see combustion based rocket engines? I haven’t seen that come up once. Was it an AI response? And the video feature only cold gas rockets as far as I knew.
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In the Top Gear interview, they even state that using a fuel "would not be a Tesla thing to do".
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There are three modes: Performance ($50k reservation), Thrust ($250k reservation), and Rocket (invite only). Thrust and Rocket mention cold gas thrusters. Where do you see a combustion rocket engine advertised? https://www.tesla.com/roadster
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I'm glad that marketing was able to talk Elon out of modes Suck, Blow and Boing.
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SpaceX Tesla crossover. Not exactly what was on my bingo sheet today.
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Reading https://www.tesla.com/roadster, it seems like both variants only use cold gas thrusters, and the difference is that the "normal" (lol) one only has them pointed rearwards while the flying one has them pointed in all different directions as well.
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I'm sure having a cold gas thruster is going to be no problem at all for road approval. /s
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> That’s the European mind speaking.

Swipes are not allowed on HN, and comments that invoke national/regional/cultural stereotypes are particularly out of line here. https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

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Somehow I feel like "putting highly explosive canisters all around a car" is not the best example for why regulation is bad.
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No, that's the mind of a person speaking that is thinking of the motorcycle standing at the traffic light just behind this car. Action, reaction, that sort of thing.
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Anywhere in the world you can effectively own a Tesla is a place that probably cares if you turn the bike behind you into meat paste.
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Here's a crazy idea: rear facing radar. Anything present within 1000 feet, it doesn't fire. GPS geofencing, not on a track can't fire. Etc.
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Woah there, this is a Tesla. You're only allowed to use cameras.
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I would start by pointing it forward and improving FSD. Better for everybody else on the road too.
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They don't even do radar for parking sensors.
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Observe how the response hasn't addressed the safety point at all, just went in for more EU bashing.
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Not like those genius Elon and American minds thinking "oh yeh rocket engines on cars makes a lot of sense", you're saying?
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The very first cars required to have a person walking in front of it with waving a flag as a warning.
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Red flag thing was the UK's Locomotives Act 1865, which dated from before what we call cars were invented. More aimed at traction engines (steam engines that go on the road). Exactly the type of regulation people like to mock the EU for.
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Last year I went to a steam show and had to share the street with giant steam tractors for the first time. That law suddenly made sense. The visibility and stopping distance aren't great.
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Funnily enough, he was also the first person to get a driver's license IIRC.
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>So many things that were invented in Europe couldn’t be invented today

Like leaded gazoline, whose effects can still be seen presently...

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I can think of no better person to have been hoisted on his own petard than Midgley. He also gave us the ozone hole. Veritasium has a great hit piece on this utter maniac.
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> That’s the European mind speaking.

No. That's the road safety mind speaking.

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How long is the US going to allow a car able to jump over Hostile Vehicle Mitigation barriers?
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Like everything else we regulate.... right up until it becomes cheap enough that "undesirables" might get their hands on them.
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Best guess is that it's disabled for anything but track/trick stuff. There will be some cool videos eventually showing up with tricks people pull with this. I don't know what else it's for.

I can imagine the lateral thrusters helping it turn faster on the track. Although I wonder if the extra weight is going to net out positive for lap times.

But really, a few very rich people will buy the full-rocket version to impress their friends. They'll play with them on private property.

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Solo track use at that. I can't imagine that other drivers are going to be all that happy if they get hit by the exhaust from one of the thrusters in a corner.
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Gases dissipate very rapidly, even moreso if doing pulsing or whatever. Probably very unsafe for a human standing literally right behind it, but it'd likely have 0 effect on another car at typical driving distance.
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Except for the bit where you can't see a thing.
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Great idea to use something like that in a tunnel or a garage. Suffocation - no breathing ... and probably some blown doors/walls from the pressure
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How are you going to suffocate when the thrusters are sending out compressed air?
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Car tunnels should be able to handle that level of bad gasses.
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What bad gases? It is literally air. Do you see a lot of mechanics passing out in garages with all that compressed air being let loose?
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The crash photos are going to be Darwin-award-worthy
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I could see a safety feature where it launches itself into the air to avoid an imminent crash (providing the area above is free)
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That depends on the landing zone being available in a way that's hard for the onboard safety system to predict. But if the car is, say, spinning out you could use these to restore stability or try to recover from the other sorts of disasters that overpowered cars can end up in even on clear roads.
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The Rocket model should never spin out - traction control using thrusters should make it impossible.
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once your wheels leave the road, its hard to slow down. Just getting to zero mph before flipping 100 times and rolling over would be immensely useful.
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I suppose I can see this also. It sounds horrifying. A head on collision is a pretty terrible thing but having one of the cars suddenly fly 30 feet in the air and crashing into on coming traffic does not sound like a great option. Reminds me of the cybertruck "this would make the perfect post apocalyptic vehicle."
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you might have a better chance of surviving that 30 foot launch than a head on collision with a pole or a semi truck. don't get me wrong it seems wildly impractical but there may be rare situations where it's useful. ejection seats on fighters frequently injured their pilot but that is better than being dead.
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This whole thing is incredibly stupid and yet, people are bending over backwards to defend it. There is not a single traffic situation where the ability of a car to suddenly launch itself into the air doesn't have more downsides than it staying put. This includes overhead wiring, other people nearby, tunnels, bridges, overpasses, lampposts, traffic lights and other street furniture. With a little luck you will survive the impact of your toy when it lands but the party that you land on does not. People have a hard enough time predicting trajectories with everything constrained to 2D, if cars start jumping around like fleas that is not an improvement. From a standstill with other parties around you this is already a serious problem, if it were moving forward at highway speeds in traffic it would be utterly irresponsible to trigger this kind of launch.
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You are delusional if you think more than one Rocket Roadster will be within miles of another one on a public road.
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What, you don’t think the solution to a situation with too much out-of-control kinetic energy is to inject a whole bunch more semi-randomly-directed kinetic energy?
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You see, when you are about to have a crash, and you only have a few milliseconds to react, the best option is to put more energy into the event.
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What goes up...
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I think every buyer should receive a complimentary nomination for the award.
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The award is reserved for people who actually died, you can only be nominated posthumously.
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Well he does know a few people in govt now I think? I remember a Tesla showroom on thr white house lawn not too long ago
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It's for the ultra rich and a tech showcase, so probably will be classified as off-road use only.
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Here's to hoping it will end up with the same reputation as the e-type.
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I mean, Leno drives around with a jet engine motorcycle that can melt the guy behind him.
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Yes, there are other idiots.
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I suspect it "actually flies" much the same way the cybertruck is bullet proof and has an ultra hard stainless steel exoskeleton, in that it doesn't. This seems like smoke and mirrors conman shit pumped up to 11.
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Is your assertion that the car shaped object we watched drive for a distance and then levitate over a distance was something other than a car that actually flies?
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You watched a demo of a car-shaped object flying. Was it an actual car, or just a shell that looks like a car? We won't know until it's actually on sale and in customer hands what this is going to be.

It wouldn't be the first time Musk demoed something and promised something and then never ships.

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What distance did you actually see it "drive"? There is no evidence that the car shaped object was anything but a lightweight shell using compressed air to levitate and do tricks like any modern day drone can do.

Here's an RC car that can drive on the ceiling: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/uR_mNcRlNsA

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There's an obvious tradeoff between range and "flight" time, but if you ask your favorite AI it will do some napkin math for you that shows a 4 cold gas thruster system with a 3 foot diameter COPV (at pressures attainable by an onboard compressor) could hover a ~4000 lbs vehicle for a few seconds.
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The car being filmed and the car that did the stunts are not necessarily the same. See this image for what seems to be an empty husk of the car that actually "flew": https://imgur.com/a/uH9qCxr
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That is clearly not the same car considering you can see the car they are talking about off to the right in the distance (it, rather suspiciously, never leaves the curved vertical track area).

You fell for Elon's three-cup monte.

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you all sound absolutely insane btw
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Well, Elon said the final prod car would be lighter; whether or not they achieve that goal, the strong implication: the car has a battery and power train in it. Also, we saw it drive up the first part of the ramp without any air seeming to come out the back, and reverse down slowly; there don't seem to be forward facing fans/jets from the looks of the air coming out. I'd say Occam's razor is that the car has a full electric system in it.
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I don't doubt it's got an electric system in it. I doubt it's got a battery sized for anything beyond that demo, a sufficiently rigid frame for road use, a reasonable steering and suspension system, etc.

My general assumption is that anything and everything that wasn't necessary for that demo was removed to trim enough weight to make the demo possible.

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Do you know what a race car is? A race car is a car with, "anything and everything that wasn't necessary for that [Race] was removed to trim enough weight to make the [Race] possible."

Tesla's website literally says the Rocket version is "Not approved for public road use." And has "Seating for one." Any battery that can perform that demo can certainly power basic driving. You're accusing them of deception when every modification you describe is plainly stated on their website. (E.g. It's drive-by-wire, and the seats are modeled chassis elements. Yes, it's wildly minimal.)

The expectation that a vehicle that did a literal standing barrel roll (even if only a single time) be functionally equivalent to a Toyota Camry is madness to me. The much more interesting question is what type of localization system in 3D space were they running?

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I can move my gas powered car that far if I leave it in gear and run it with the starter. Is my car electric?
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Watch The man with the golden gun. You’ll see a car do a corkscrew jump. Does that mean all cars of that brand could do that jump?

What we saw was impressive, but it’s a trick. The car’s tanks are surely empty after this, and now you have a loud compressor filling them up for minutes. You can’t use those thrusters near people and cars cause you’re at risk of getting them in trouble.

It’s part of a long history of useless tech in supercars. Impressive, but useless.

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How is that a trick? So far it seems that was exactly what was advertised?
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Tom Cruise famously does his own stunts, one of which involved driving a motorcycle off a cliff. That does not mean it is advisable or repeatable to drive your motorcycle off a cliff.
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Would you say a bullfrog that can hop from pad to pad can fly?
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A frog can't hover for any amount of time.
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Neither can this car. Unless 'any amount of time' is sub second, then fine, it can hover. But then a brick on a ballistic trajectory also hovers when it is at the top of that trajectory.
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No, a ballistic trajectory is at no point “hovering”. That was literally my point regarding the frog.
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I'd assert that it being something other than a car is an extremely reasonable assumption given all evidence available.
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What is demo'd and what actually ships are two completely different things

I'm not saying its impossible but it seems pretty naive to just assume on face value

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I certainly don't think it was a car that flies. It could be a car that can do dangerous party tricks for no practical reason but I kinda doubt that do. Hell we live in an AI world now, why are you so confident it's what they claim it is, what in Musk or Tesla's track record indicates that this is anything but a hype effort?
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If they used AI to fake a live demo in front of a bunch of people, that would be exceedingly impressive.
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The cyber truck is more bulletproof than any normal car, there are tons of videos of it stopping handgun rounds.

For what it’s worth, my $600 hunting rifle will go clean through both sides of any bulletproof vest, and it’s nothing special.

For everything that is bulletproof, there is always a calibre of projectile that will go through it.

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Some old cars bodies probably could stop small pistol rounds too.
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I hope so or a lot of old cop movies have some ‘splainin to do!
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>Ok, so it actually flies

I'm going to quote Buzz Lightyear: this is falling... with style.

On a serious note, this was unexpected. You can't deny, he has style

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>he has style

Those SS uniforms were snappy.

But what is the point of this? Did Musk think everyone would forgive him, turn to white-supremacy and re-vote in his patsy's associates if only they saw a weird car demo?

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Tesla has a very good record for crashworthiness

And supercars are typically not submitted for NCAP testing, so It'll likely be less safe than a Model Y for example (to be determined, no reports out yet)

https://www.euroncap.com/assessments/tesla/model+y/0961/

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That is incorrect - there are three versions slated, one with no cold gas nozzles, one with forward-only (the 4 in the rear) and a tank in the rear "acceleration", one with 10 nozzles (4 under, 2 side, 4 rear) and a tank in the rear and passenger seat "flight". None of the variants use rocket fuel or other ignited propellent, they're all just compressed gas release systems.

This is explained in the deep dive video with Lars - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=22rvpUecLts

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I like how "Jetson car" goes from driving George to work through the air to "10 seconds of air time is a Jetson car." No, it is nothing like the Jetsons. It is a cold air bomb waiting to explode and there is zero chance of it actually hitting the road other than in a few fake forms to pretend they did it.
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I felt the same way when they were calling the Segway skateboards "hoverboards" and referring to back to the future.
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I'm not sure I'd agree that "Traditional wheel powered transportation vehicle" is in the same category as "Useless hovering car with giant dangerous high-pressure nitrogen tank that can cause serious bodily injury to pedestrians and occupants"
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On the other hand "Hoverboards" became famous for bursting into flames so vigorously that people thought they were exploding, so maybe there is a deep connection. Then again "Hoverboards" were actually available on the market as advertised for quite some time, which is probably going to differentiate them from yet another Musk gimmick.

Add it to the list, boys! "Inflatable Rescue Submersible", FSD, Bulletproof windows, Mars any day now, Hyperloop... am I missing anything?

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I guess any LPG-installed car is also a "bomb" by your definition?
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my quick search says LPG-installed cars run at 5-10 bar. the roadster apparently at 350 bar. by comparison one is on the scale of car tires and the other is like 35x that.
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Using Brode's equation a rupture can release 52MJ of energy or 12kg of TNT. An high explosive tank shell only has 11MJ of explosive energy.
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But also LPG is extremely flammable, while air isn't, and air can be safely leaked in emergency.
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This is enough pressure to launch a car and flip it in the air, you can't just "safely leak" it at any useful rate of speed in an emergency. In an emergency it will rapidly explode.
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For reference, tractor trailer tires run about 7 bar and we’ve all see those videos.
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It's basically the batmobile from Dark Knight. A small bridge jumper. Still pretty cool
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Didn’t that also actually work? IIRC they wanted to develop something that could realistically do it. This seems to confirm: https://batmobilehistory.com/tumbler-batmobile.php
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The Batpod bike was also practical, although infamous for being super hard to drive unlike the batmobile leading to a now infamous crash with an imax camera: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CdMpxN-7_rw
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>A small bridge jumper.

Or an easier way to escape rioters blocking the road and threatening your life.

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Imagine what these air blasters would do to a pedestrian. This is never going to hit the road like shown.
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Not just pedestrians. Nearby car windshields.
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I think future technology will allow the car to detect another car or pedestrian too close to the exhaust system and disengage it. I don’t know, some wild thought I just had.
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You can't just "disengage" a car that's six feet off the ground. You have to land it gently with the nozzle engaged or you don't have a car anymore, and maybe you don't have a driver either.
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Do you feel the same way about every Red Bull stunt?
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Now do the definition of AGI.
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You think the jetsons vehicle wasn’t a flying bomb? You’re comparing a real, actually-flying car with a cartoon fantasy and complaining the real one isn’t real enough? I don’t even understand what the point here is
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The point is that a car flying for 10 seconds is nowhere near the Jetsons car.

We actually do already have Jetsons style flying cars - those things that look kind of like big drones are basically that, and those are actually practical.

Forget the comparison to the Jetsons if it upsets you, let's just compare to actual flying vehicles.

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I was mostly being pedantic in response to the extreme pedantry required to differentiate between “doing a barrel roll using cold gas thrusters” and “flying”. My point is that it is of course flying, and the reason cars don’t fly at all normally is because it’s insanely dangerous, so saying it’s not a flying car because it’s dangerous is both disingenuous and wrong.
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I bet Tesla is kicking themselves for not consulting mulletbum before building. They could have caught this if only the actual engineers at Tesla had your input.
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It doesn't have to be pressurized at all times!

You could only pressurize it right before your jumping stunt.

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Highly practical. Basically a clown car.
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You know the force from these thrusters is going to injure a pedestrian and the whole idea will be scrapped.

They can’t even build a proper Mini anymore because the hood was so low it elked pedestrians face first into the windshield.

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If the flying version is ever sold (unlikely) it will be subject to flying thing rules (FAA). Best case it would be like buying a used F1 car from Ferrari. They retain possession and you get to occasionally fly in on the private jet and drive it under supervision on a racetrack.

It’s cool tech demo. I’m not expecting to see one fly in private hands ever.

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People saying the flying features are wildly impractical, potentially dangerous, and a waste of space, weight and money which make it worse at being a car are correct.

However, those assuming it will never be sold or even legal to be sold may not be aware there already exist astronomically expensive, completely impractical, quite unsafe, track-only hypercars which are not legal to drive on any street.

As for the technical legality of the 'flying' features ask your LLM about: the Ground-Effect & "Sustained Flight" Jurisdictional Boundary in FAA / NHTSA regs, Off-Road Track-Only exemptions from Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards, and PHMSA / DOT-SP (Special Permit) authorization for consumer COPV pressure vessels. Making the "hopping" version for sale is a wildly impractical marketing stunt but they can probably do it, although it'll cost far more and ship much later than whatever they promise and will sell at most a few dozen.

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It's never going to be street legal, and I doubt there was ever a plan to try.
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The cybertruck is so dangerous to pedestrians it would never pass homologation pretty much anywhere outside of USA, and yet it sells there. If the roadster is sold anywhere it will be there too.
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Honey, did you remember to also charge the compressed gas tank on the Tesla?

Sorry, I'll start it from the app!

chug chug chug chug

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From the interview, they says it takes 6-8 hours to fill and you get 1 "launch" before its depleted in under a second.
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This is just gooning with a drivetrain.
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Opposite of gooning no? More like Mr. 2 seconds leaving one's partner stimulated but unfulfilled.
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I think they more meant the "6-8 hours to fill and you get 1 launch" aspect. The gooning starts in the garage.
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Of all things, how is this the most reasonable, even-handed disagreement in this thread?
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Because that's how things work now. But also, no disagreement, the gooning is absolutely in the 6-8 hours not the 5 seconds of joy joy.
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Tesla has an EXCELLENT safety record. Why's your post so tainted? Compare them to any other vehicle manufacturer's crash records.
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Probably because of the Nazi salutes.
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> kinda wild they devoted this much effort to an economically completely infeasible model.

Watch Ford v Ferrari for an idea of what auto companies are willing to invest for bragging rights.

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Endurance racing has 100% more practical uses than stunt car.
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Ford and Ferrari aren’t on the brink of extinction
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Yeah, I hear twitter won't survive the weekend too.
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Twitter is essentially dead. If I go to my "For You" tab, it is literally 100% pro-Trump bot posts.

Musk keeps it running as a mouthpiece/propaganda and vanity project, but it's not a viable business anymore due to all the $13B Musk borrowed to acquire it, as well as loss of advertizers. It's estimated to break even on an operational basis, but loses about $1B/yr when you include interest on the debt.

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Is it dead? I feel like this is more of a "you" thing than you might realize. At least for sports, twitter is 100% still the dominant medium for reporting.

I'm looking at the same post on a players status for this weekend from 2 hours ago on 3 platforms:

- Threads: 5 likes, 2 comments, 15 shares

- BlueSky: 19 likes, 3 comments, 3 shares

- Twitter: 1500 likes, 105 comments, 281 shares

Doesn't really seem like twitter is the one that's almost dead...

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How much of that Twitter activity is human vs bot?

For anything politics related the activity is almost all bots.

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This is one of those funny times people don't realize "For You" is personalized. It's like when Google rolled out personalized search by default and people started asking "why do all my search results have porn in them" and it's like uhh dude because you look at porn all the time.

Turns out you just love Trump.

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Uh isn’t the “for you” literally the algorithm based feed for your direct interests? My for you page shows zero trump. And this is exactly the reason why it’s still so valuable, it can feed the echo chambers for individuals and keep them engaged (and seeing ads)
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That means they think you're already in the fold. Advertising is to convince people that are not yet convinced.
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I've no idea how the "For You" works, and my interests certainly do not include Trump propaganda. The only Twitter content I engage with is from people I follow, which is basically just AI/ML.
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Tesla's stock price might be detached from reality, but is their actual business in trouble? I ask because anywhere I travel (Europe, UK, HK, NZ for example) there are just tons of Teslas, most of them the latest refresh models. There were more Telsas than BYD in Hong Kong!
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> Tesla's stock price might be detached from reality, but is their actual business in trouble?

I am not sure you can detach these two concepts. Tesla is currently valued around 3x the next top 5 auto companies combined, so to an extent you need to judge the company on these expectations. I happen to think they do have a pretty good business selling cars, and maybe a very good business selling autonomous cars, but there's so much uncertainty I think it is hard to see the current market cap as anything other than hugely inflated.

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The business is doing fine, they’re profitable and regularly beating various targets. Honestly I think Elon is more level headed than people give him credit for, his companies are consistently profitable and generally produce competitive products.

https://companiesmarketcap.com/tesla/earnings/

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Operating margin fell from 16% to ~2% over the last 10 years and will probably be negative in 2026 and 2027. They have a big cash pile to burn through but they’re spending it on ummm “a flying car,” humanoid robots, and an AI fab. They’re fucked.
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Similar, to the time Tesla was fucked, because they wanted to sell EVs when there was neither demand nor charging infra. Or when SpaceX wanted to build a rocket that could land on legs, whereas every wannabe rocket scientists knew that to be impossible.
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Or similar to the time Cybertruck was a giant success, FSD was ready in 2022, and Falcon 1 would launch 600kg for $7 million.
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I'd be very surprised if the roadster project was particularly expensive. That operating margin tells you they are spending all the cash they are earning on cars on the other stuff, not that the cars suddenly became more expensive to make.

I'm interested to meet someone online who's short both on-shore US silicon fabs and the market for humanoid robots. Can you say more about your thinking?

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I'm short on an allegedly successful automotive company that has a rapidly deteriorating automotive business (due entirely to management's own decision-making) pivoting into the most hyped business ideas in the world. I'm bearish on the type of creative accounting and self-dealing we see between the Musk companies.

Musk is similar to Zuck in that they get some credit for sheer courage to turn the wheel on their massive businesses, but they also have to be right. Aside from his anticompetitive behavior, Zuck continues to miss. Musk's pattern has been that the more Musk is personally involved, the worse the outcomes. Cybertruck was his baby. Optimus is his baby.

If Tesla is doing so well as an automotive business, then why doesn't he just continue making it a great automotive business?

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I mean the short answer is that it doesn’t temperamentally suit him to do so.

Maybe a mid length answer is if you agree with his assessment on say humanoid robots in terms of market and you believe they might have a geometric growth factor in production (eg robots can make more robots) then you’d want that business build out done by a team that can scale rapidly.

For fabs spacex and Tesla are significant consumers of the output- vertical integration is preferred by lots of companies.

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> I mean the short answer is that it doesn’t temperamentally suit him to do so.

Correct, and I think having a CEO who's totally unaccountable to a board and is temperamentally unable to focus on his core business is not good.

SpaceX and Tesla are nowhere near large enough consumers to justify vertically integrating a fab. The demand is predicated on Optimus producing millions of units per year.

This circularity will probably end up being seen in retrospect as so transparently absurd that it'll beggar belief that anyone accepted it.

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I respect the perspective, of course, and cannot argue with the risk assessment.

That said I think these bets will pay off. Let’s check in in five years!

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> Let’s check in in five years!

Do you have particular predictions we can evaluate in five years?

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1) The fab will have been a highly profitable investment, possibly worth spinning out

2) more than 1mm optimus produced and sold in the US

Happy for any counters :)

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You've got to take Musk's forecasts with a massive grain (sack?) of salt. Pre-launch he was estimating making 250,000 Cybertrucks per year by 2025. So far, total sales over 3 years have actually been 60-70K.

I'd bet that in 5 years time Optimus total sales are in the 10's of thousands at best, with few to no large scale industrial users (other than self-use by Musk). Customers will be similar to what AgiBot and Unitree currently have - entertainment, hospitality, academic, small scale trials, plus a few Tesla fanboy sales that don't do anything actually productive.

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In five years? It would be an achievement if it's operating in five years. Absolutely zero chance it will be profitable by then.

1MM Optimus sold in the US is hilarious too.

Want to make bets on these?

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I'm not a betting man, but I'd comfortably place a bet to agree with you.

My prediction is Musk will become less and less stable, more and more flamboyant and performative, and less and less effective.

He's already saying he suffers from occasional AI psychosis, and there is no chance that's going to get better on its own.

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It will be his robot typing the message for him at that point
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If anything his companies are doing well despite of him, not because of him. There's level-headed and competent leadership in them resisting his bullshit.
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The counterpoint of course is that he has demonstrated a consistent ability to build and run successful businesses, many of which are extremely high risk

The only new western car company in decades to not fail, based on a technology nobody believed in at the time, least of all other car companies

SpaceX being a private space company, which was completely unheard of. No experts though they could succeed

Smaller earlier businesses like Zip2, paypal, etc

These are gigantic high risk companies with high failure probabilities, the chance they they all happened to be successful despite Musk and not at least in part because of him is stretching reasonable doubt for me.

I'm absolutely no fan of his politics or personality, but the man can run a business that nobody else even dares try (at least until he demonstrates viability and the market starts to generate competitors)

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> The counterpoint of course is that he has demonstrated a consistent ability to build and run successful businesses, many of which are extremely high risk

Three sucesses.

Not so successful: Solar City, Neuralink, TBC, X.

(X exists, but before it was valued-and-bought by one of Musk's other companies, it appeared to have lost about half its value).

Richard Branson he aint.

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> Neurolink

They put out this video of a patient with ALS regaining the ability to communicate.

https://youtu.be/_j806JHhCRo

Hard to see that not being successful, once it passes the FDA, assuming it's real.

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If the boring company potentially slowed competition for other Tesla focused options, is that not success?
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paypal succeeded _despite_ musk and required a boardroom coup to remove him from leadership because he was about to tank the company. if he had is way nobody would remember paypal besides a couple people with merch for a long defunct company.
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Rivian, Polestar, Slate etc. Would like a word.

Of course it’s still early days for all these companies and they’re not exactly fiscally solid, but if Tesla had not made all those cars, someone else would have.

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Revisionist history at its finest.
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I'd still restrict this to an ability to pursue ideas that others find too risky with relentless persistence and a laser focus. He is able to get something off the ground and make others believe in it, but not good at actually running a stable business. And that's fine, mind you, I absolutely respect what has built. But the person who is responsible for turning SpaceX from an incredibly risky bet into a profit machine is Gwynne Shotwell, not Elon Musk.
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Yes their actual business is in trouble.

Why exactly do you think he keeps repositioning them as a robotics oh wait no I mean an AI company? Why is he clearly positioning Tesla to be acquired by SpaceX? Why is Tesla investing into xAI to be converted into SpaceX shares?

Tesla’s actual business, making cars, continues to degrade. The Roadster (obviously) is not going to help.

They have a huge balance sheet so it’ll take a while but Musk obviously sees the writing on the wall. The sheen is wearing off their shitty products and he doesn’t know how to add the sheen back or make the products less shitty.

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>Yes their actual business is in trouble.

No it's not.

>Tesla’s actual business, making cars, continues to degrade.

False. Revenue and deliveries beat so far this year, Q3 also a beat.

Don't let your Elon Derangement Syndrome cloud your ability to think rationally.

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You're aware that "beat" means "beat expectations," right? You're aware that expectations are increasingly that Tesla's business is struggling?

TSLA is down 18% YTD. That's because their business is doing so well?

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>You're aware that "beat" means "beat expectations," right?

You're aware that the "expectations" are they run a profitable company, right?

>You're aware that expectations are increasingly that Tesla's business is struggling?

You're aware that the expectations are increasingly that Tesla's business is stable, and showed record deliveries and backlog in Q2?

>TSLA is down 18% YTD. That's because their business is doing so well?

Auto manufacturing sector (DJUSAU) is down 16% YTD, and Tesla's stock is overpriced to begin with. Tesla's most direct competitor in the US, Rivian, is down 34% YTD. Stop getting your business/economic news from BlueSky/reddit.

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> Stop getting your business/economic news from BlueSky/reddit.

And where should they get them? From Twitter?

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>And where should they get them?

Credible business/economic news outlets.

>From Twitter?

No.

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Like FT?

October 2: Tesla deliveries fall 2% as US consumers buy fewer EVs

July 23: Tesla shares tumble 11% as discounts hit profits

April 2: Tesla reports weaker than expected 6% rise in global deliveries

January 29: Tesla scraps models in pivot to AI as annual revenue falls for the first time

Tesla growth is slowing, margins are getting crunched, competition is heating up. Tesla knows they're fucked so they're pivoting into AI. The pivot into AI might work, but Musk himself unambiguously thinks Tesla is fucked as an automotive company.

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Yes, profitable with slowing growth, shrinking margins, and increasing competition. This is a death spiral for Musk's ultra capital-intensive mode of operating.

That's why Musk is trying to claim Tesla isn't an automotive company (except when comparisons to such suit him and his cultists, of course).

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Just wait til all teslas are roving cell towers connected to star link. Always capturing 3d data of every single street driven. There’s still so much room for weird big things with the network being built. Scary.
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It's really difficult to see such ridiculous levels of hyperbole in every single Tesla thread and not think people are doing this in a coordinated way for ulterior motives
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you should read the comments on the ars technica segment of the roadster. hn isn't even close to that.
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I mean he's been called a nazi, a pedophile, and a scam artists multiple times in this HN comment thread. Not sure how much more slanderous it can get.
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Agreed, all ridiculous allegations.

All that can be definitively proven by Musk’s own statements is that the Epstein files convinced him that Trump is a child rapist and Musk has nonetheless chosen to defend Trump, work with him, fund him, and according to Musk single-handedly get him re-elected.

Thank god Musk is not a scam artist though. That’d be a real indictment of his character. And you know, it might even be an indictment of the character of his valiant supporters.

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That's what happens when you throw Nazi salutes and appear in the Epstein files begging for access to the island.

That isn't even snark, it's plain cold hard on-the-record facts.

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I thought somewhere in the video they said that it is just regular compressed air that is held in a tank, and that the car itself has a compressor and regenerates the compressed air over time. Obviously to stabilize that amount of weight the gas has to be ejected at such a high rate it is practically frozen at the nozzle outlet, but it is still just regular air.
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The demo car they showed most likely has no batteries or even a metal frame. They basically built a car shaped drone powered by compressed air.

Example RC toy car that drives on the ceiling: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/uR_mNcRlNsA

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He says in that video that they opened up the doors to show them that model, so it's unclear it's the same one "driven" for the demo.

Even if it is, they show interior, wheels & a distance shot of the rear opening showing a large air tank - very little can be seen of the actual chassis or engine.

Whatever tricks were done for the demo - whether the car is real or fake - it's highly unlikely what was shown today will ever be like-for-like accessible to consumers in the production model.

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Incredible definition of "flies."
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It's not about sales numbers, it's about putting rockets in cars, so that SpaceX can acquire Tesla and give Musk supervoting shares
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It's cool as fuck but calling it flying is misleading. It jumps and can maneuver in space.
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Documented in this immortal scene from Samurai Jack: https://youtu.be/l2KCUaKK_0A?t=12

Aku: You can fly?!

Jack: No, jump good.

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"That wasn't flying. That was falling with style!"
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It’s a flying squirrel.
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> moving or able to move through the air with wings:

Okay, so I guess it doesn’t fly in the same way a rocket doesn’t fly? Distinction without meaning in this case.

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It doesn't fly in the same way I don't "fly" when I jump. You need to be on more than a ballistic trajectory.
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uh. it doesn't fly as in it can't sustain flight...
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> devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible mode

Just like economically infeasible Twitter, it has tremendous PR value. There is a huge economy revolving around people annoying other people just for a glimpse of their attention. This captures the attention and pleases people. Other car companies should start getting creative too.

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> Just like economically infeasible Twitter, it has tremendous PR value

The power to shape governments to his liking is worth a lot more than what he paid for Twitter.

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The power to shape governments to his liking is exactly why we've got to demand those governments to rein him in.
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New account comes in to insinuate support about government taking over Musk’s businesses. Hmm.
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Ok, I will commit to having the same position, is my account too new as well?
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Like the Biden administration which essentially forced Twitter to censor posts to their liking? Those governments we want?
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Seems that is what both parties that control our government want

https://www.kenklippenstein.com/p/how-the-military-will-hack...

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> Wild that they devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible model.

Can't help but think of the not-a-flamethrower

(friend bought one for $500, now they seem to be worth $1500-$2000)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Boring_Company#Merchandise

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Isn't it just a relabeled weed burner?
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Reshaping of a classic blowtorch - if you're looking for a level up, try the Rodenator - less immediate flame, way more bang at the end.
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The Rodenator is an applicable device that injects a precise mixture of oxygen and propane into the dens of burrowing rodents, and kills them with a concussive force that collapses the rodents' tunnel system as well.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E_B_Meyer_Inc.

that sounds quite amazing, and it looks like something out of ghostbusters.

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It isn’t “just” a relabeled weed burner, it’s a relabeled weed burner... with a fancy plastic shell.

And that makes a big difference, right? Right?

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> and one with real combustion rocket engines

The site states it's cold-gas thrusters for both models: "Features a multi-mode suction system paired with cold-gas thrusters positioned around the perimeter of the vehicle that support forward and upward acceleration as well as lateral rotational movement."

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Have they announce pricing on the rocket version? I could see it being priced like a bugatti or koenigsegg, where selling 100-500 of these is a great business.
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> Wild that they devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible model.

Teslas evaluation is based on hype. This is as hype as it gets for a car. To me it looks like they were in need for "the coolest thing". To me, this has the smell of desperation implying the beginning of the end of their high evaluation.

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No chance it will get a permission to drive on the streets in my country. It also is a completely useless feature but it is still awesome.

Guess it is for advertising mainly.

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I see potential in the circus industry.
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They save on advertising to spend on mind-blowing demos.
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It's very economically feasible if it pumps up the stock price
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The rocket version is also just cold gas thrusters, not carbon fuel based.
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> and one with real combustion rocket engines, the latter was in the video and is "invite only".

I don't think they'll sell these, at all in the future. No way they'll hound out actual rocket engines to en users. Too much IP in there.

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They might not consider the cold gas thrusters to be particular trade secrets. They're very simple devices.
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Plenty of concept hypercars barely scrape 100 sales, the point is largley marketing in most cases
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It is concept art and a bunch of promises.
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to be fair we don’t actually know yet that this is a high performance car. We only saw it drive a few mph without rocket assistance
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I would like to know two things:

1. Why don't they show a driver entering or exiting? 2. How much do that particular "car" weigh?

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They imply a heavy weight with the suction downforce numbers but I think those numbers are not real. I’m reminded of neural link where the pig food detector was unimpressive, then shortly later a monkey demo was very impressive, they have since had human trials and humans don’t appear to get anywhere close to that same level.
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They said there was no real driver in it for safety reasons
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Well, that's a bit of a downer then isn't it? Not safe enough for them but safe enough for you to put a downpayment on...
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Good point. It can't have much battery. Also wonder if the propellant/s are cryogenic. Monopropellant? You could tell from analyzing the plume.
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I've seen a clip that shows under the skin.

It's compressed air RCS. The compressor, regulators and a ton of hardware take up the entire space from the seats back to literally the very last inch of the car. Hard pipes run along the door frame for the forward RCS, meaning only one person (driver) can sit in it and enter from the drivers side. Huge carbon RCS tanks fill every other space.

No idea how long it would take to recharge the tanks after venting them.

There's no room for 'car' stuff in it.

Interestingly there is a big... sleeve of wizard... that extends down under the car to assist the ground effect fan. Packaging that and the RCS stuff into it is a real engineering feat.

But it didn't look to have crash structures, or any other production ready hardware.

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SpaceX lost a Falcon 9 to one of these things rupturing. A car accident with these onboard sounds… unfun.

https://spaceflightnow.com/2018/03/13/nasa-releases-summary-...

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So the GP describes compressed air, while Falcon 9 rockets use cryogenic helium, oxygen, and RP1 kerosene.

So I got no idea how you can even compare these two completely different systems and go from a launch failure to an explosive car accident?

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That tank is pressurized to over 700 bar, if a pressure vessel ruptures under that amount of pressure, it doesn’t matter what gas is inside of it, it’s not going to be pretty.
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They've had several COPV failures.

Including boring old nitrogen blowing up a Starship: https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/...

> "Initial analysis indicates the potential failure of a pressurized tank known as a COPV, or composite overwrapped pressure vessel, containing gaseous nitrogen in Starship's nosecone area, but the full data review is ongoing," the company wrote in an update on Thursday (June 19).

If you SCUBA, your tanks need regular checks (https://dan.org/alert-diver/article/inspecting-and-testing-s...), because pressurized air can indeed kill (https://divemagazine.com/scuba-diving-news/diver-killed-in-s...) if the tank fails. The gas for these thrusters will happily accelerate you with the same force they're using to make a car fly given the chance.

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At these pressures, it doesn't matter to the human body what is in the tank if it is at all compressible. If the tank fails, its gonna go badly.

Just for reference this is 50% more pressure than the pressure that crushed that submarine at the titanic.

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If a tank of 10k PSI compressed air ruptures, you're going to know it.
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Not if you're close enough!
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Link? Sounds interesting.
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Found a link, I saw it on instagram initially but here's a screen recording on reddit

https://www.reddit.com/r/teslamotors/s/efxEqCJxQR

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I think everyone is getting too caught up in the Thrust and Rocket variants. There aren’t going to be very many of those. But the base model will just be a regular Tesla.
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> But the base model will just be a regular Tesla.

A regular Tesla that sucks, you mean?

Even the base model has “active aerodynamics and a multi-mode suction system that maximizes downforce for next-level performance on and off the track.”

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Sounds like it was just compressed air (rechargeable on the fly). Impressive if true.
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I am pretty skeptical that that’s actually what was used in the demo. It would be so much simpler to just use whatever they use for the rockets for the demo, which certainly isn’t rechargeable
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This will be the justification for merging SpaceX and Tesla.

"Integrating SpaceX thruster tech is absolutely essential to Tesla in the future!"

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>Wild that they devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible model.

It's only wild if you ignore Musk's role in this. Not even trying to bash him or anything, but he's a trillionaire. This is the kind of shit you do when you have more money than you can ever possibly waste.

I mean, if this is how he wants to spend his money, then I guess that's his prerogative. But I think it's a bit misleading to suggest this is a decision made by "Tesla" when this is clearly an irrational decision for a company to make. This is a decision made by Musk based on satisfying his own personal goals.

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Musk does not have anywhere close to a trillion US dollars.
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In his pocket or what? When SpaceX IPO'd he was valued at over a trillion USD. Currently somewhere over 900MM, and worth more than the 2nd, 3rd and 4th on the rich list combined.

In terms of net worth, you are closer to Jeff Bezos than Bezos is to Musk.

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And we are all closer to being millionaires than both of them.
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Un incredible achievement that betters humanity. Amazing
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"That wasn't flying! That was... falling with style!"
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> .... into a high performance car

If that is what they have done. That may just be a large drone looking like a car.

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> Wild that they devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible model.

You could say the same thing about the Cybertruck.

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> Wild that they devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible model.

If this ships, it will deliver a fraction of what's promised here. My money is on the "flying" version being delayed repeatedly until it's quietly cancelled. Anyone remember the fast battery change stations[1]?

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oj6LaYFall4

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The website lists three modes, which all have the fan but differ in thrusters. The variants are: no thrusters (thus no COPV), acceleration-only thrusters, and flying thrusters. The flying one has the disclaimer "Note: Not approved for public road use." OTOH the acceleration-only thrusters may be street legal. However, I expect that the COPV will be kept empty (thus not dangerous) unless you select a special "launch mode".

Hopefully there will also be a warning siren while it is pressurized. "Dangerous enough to need a warning siren" seems like a plus for the target market, honestly.

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Feel like a rich people toy slash marketing stunt for Tesla.

Impressive engineering but utterly impractical. There are semi-practical flying car designs around folding wings or quad rotors (basically a big car sized drone) and the reason we don’t see them has more to do with safety, traffic control, and energy cost. Aircraft, like rockets, tend to get more energy efficient with size, so tiny flying machines are power wasters.

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> Wild that they devoted so much effort to an economically completely infeasible model. I wonder if the combustion version will even break 3 figures sales.

It's staggering to consider how many resources we've diverted from people who could use them into building this novelty.

If ever there was a sign of a society of decadence in decline, it's that the most powerful person on earth is free to create toys like this exclusively for others in the ruling class.

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When has frontier engineering ever gone directly to low cost mass production?

"Crazy new thing also crazy expensive" is the norm, not a regression.

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anything still takes this conman serious? Must be bots..
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